- longer context, better models, routing calls to cheaper models, 4-6x cheaper inference for 90% of the top models capabilities
- longer agentic sessions while being coherent/solving tasks (30-90min)
Yet every other post here and there are about "bubble this", "winter that", "plateauing this", "wall that"...
Are we in the denial stage, or bargaining stage? Can't quite tell...
tyleo · 5m ago
But can it maintain my legacy crud app with no tests, millions of LoC, long compile times?
One day but not yet. Beyond pure capabilities the companies making AI don’t seem to have any sort of moat so it’s a $$$ incinerator for them so far.
Like the late 90s internet I suspect we’re in a bubble. But also like the late 90s internet I suspect there’s more in store here in the future.
robertlagrant · 32m ago
You might've said the same thing about self-driving cars five years ago, or chess even longer ago. It turns out chess was soluble, so the nay-sayers were wrong, but self-driving cars aren't soluble (yet) so the yay-sayers were wrong.
energy123 · 26m ago
People use low-compute models in their day to day jobs. They're not exposed to how good the very-high-compute runs are doing at the moment.
- gold at IMO
- gold at IoI
- beat 9/10 humans in atcode heuristics
- longer context, better models, routing calls to cheaper models, 4-6x cheaper inference for 90% of the top models capabilities
- longer agentic sessions while being coherent/solving tasks (30-90min)
Yet every other post here and there are about "bubble this", "winter that", "plateauing this", "wall that"...
Are we in the denial stage, or bargaining stage? Can't quite tell...
One day but not yet. Beyond pure capabilities the companies making AI don’t seem to have any sort of moat so it’s a $$$ incinerator for them so far.
Like the late 90s internet I suspect we’re in a bubble. But also like the late 90s internet I suspect there’s more in store here in the future.