Linux Reaches 5% Desktop Market Share in USA

757 marcodiego 426 7/16/2025, 10:37:08 AM ostechnix.com ↗

Comments (426)

nerdjon · 4h ago
I have to wonder how much of this is people switching to Linux vs the larger trend of people not having traditional computers to begin with.

Outside of gamers, I don't know anyone that has a computer at home that is not their work laptop if they have one. At least in my circle everyone I know has moved to their general computing being on phones and tablets which is not captured here. So is a solid chunk of this the people that would have already had Linux desktops continuing to have theirs since they would likely be the same people (more technical, needing to do tasks not possible on phones and tablets) less likely to be making that switch.

Basically if the higher percent is due to less desktops overall instead of a major uptick in Linux desktops, it is not really much to celebrate.

Given these numbers are percents I would be very curious.

Now yes there is a clear uptick thanks to the Steam Deck (however with Microsoft pushing their optimized for gaming Windows it will be interesting to see if that continues or goes backwards). But I would be reluctant to call that Linux Desktop anymore than I would call Android an uptick for Linux.

palata · 4h ago
I agree with your points, except this:

> thanks to the Steam Deck [...] but I would be reluctant to call that Linux Desktop anymore than I would call Android an uptick for Linux.

The Steam Deck very much runs Linux Desktop. Android runs the Linux kernel, but everything else is different. SteamOS is a Linux distribution based on Arch. If you run your Steam Deck in "desktop mode", it is very much a Linux Desktop (with a read-only system and A/B updates etc, but still).

zozbot234 · 3h ago
Android systems don't even run the linux kernel in any real sense, pretty much every downstream kernel has millions of lines of patched code that will never make it upstream in their current form. Of course, that's no different from mostly any other "Linux" embedded device, but it's very different indeed from what's standard on desktop systems.
palata · 3h ago
I would still count it as the Linux kernel. They don't change the syscall API, it's really mostly at the BSP level, right?

Said differently: if manufacturers cared to mainstream their changes, they could. And we would all be better for it.

fsflover · 3h ago
> I would still count it as the Linux kernel.

This may be technically true, except it has no single meaningful implication, like no Linux software works there.

jchw · 2h ago
That's not even true. You can use typical Linux software inside of a chroot, like with Termux.
conradev · 1h ago
Yep, and in the reverse, you don't need a separate kernel to run Android software on Linux: https://waydro.id
udev4096 · 16m ago
Waydroid is garbage. It's so bad. Better use redroid: https://github.com/remote-android/redroid-doc
longfingers · 40m ago
Whether your virtual container is lightweight, heavyweight or from the cloud doesn't really change anything from a regular user's perspective. You aren't installing software in the main environment you are looking at, running a desktop on, etc.
jchw · 9m ago
Recall the post above mine:

> > I would still count it as the Linux kernel.

> This may be technically true, except it has no single meaningful implication, like no Linux software works there.

Termux is notable is because you in fact don't need a virtual machine at all, or even a proper container. Even the "chroot" aspect is basically just to create a facade to make software work with less effort; it's not literally needed. And you can indeed run typical graphical Linux software as long as you have a compatible display server; Termux offers an X server as an add-on.

This doesn't mean that Android is the same as desktop Linux, but that's not the point here. The point is that Android runs the Linux kernel, and not just in name only. You actually can make use of the Linux aspect of Android, which many of us do.

It's possible that Google will lock down Android further in the future and make the host Linux environment less usable for stock Linux apps, but today you can run quite a lot of typical CLI and even desktop Linux software directly in Android with minimal fuss. Even if it's a little cumbersome, it's quite useful in a pinch.

I'd argue whether you can readily install software to the Linux host environment is also neither here nor there. For an immutable abroot setup like SteamOS, you can't really install directly to the host environment, but in my mind that does not make it any less "desktop Linux" or Linux kernel based.

udev4096 · 15m ago
This is the reason I hate the recent surge in linux desktop users. People jumping in without allocating enough time to get familiar with the ecosystem
MatthewPhillips · 3h ago
I think this really undervalues what Linux provides. The Android software is Linux software.
fsflover · 3h ago
It's completely incompatible, so in practice it's a different OS. Doesn't mean it's not valuable.
jraph · 3h ago
You are talking about the OS while the person you are discussing with is speaking about the kernel.

The Linux kernel has its own merits outside standard Linux userspace.

I agree, saying that the fact standard Linux distros and Android share the same kernel has no single meaningful implication really undervalues the Linux kernel.

I also agree that it's important to keep in mind the two OSes are mostly incompatible.

The two OSes sharing the kernel have practical implications, including (theoretically) seeing improvements coming from Android dev in the kernel that can benefit standard linux distros, and things like Termux or Waydroid.

ravenstine · 27m ago
Compiling the mainline Linux kernel myself really taught me that the kernel does way more than people give it credit for. Sure, it can be debated as to whether two distributions of Linux can really be considered the same OS, but acting like the kernel is a relatively minor detail comes off to me as ignorant.
fsflover · 2h ago
So when somebody says "Linux reaches X market share", are they talking about the kernel? Why does it even matter how much the kernel is used? Would you count WSL?
jraph · 2h ago
I'm not sure why you are asking me all this, this is beside my points.

> So

I reject the link here.

> when somebody says "Linux reaches X market share", are they talking about the kernel?

Likely not.

> Why does it even matter how much the kernel is used?

Why not? Depends what's your concern.

> Would you count WSL?

Depends what you want to evaluate.

fsflover · 2h ago
> Depends what you want to evaluate.

This is exactly my question. You said the discussion's about the kernel. Why do you want to evaluate its usage? Which conclusions are you going to draw?

Because when talking about the OS, you can conclude that Windows and MacOS start falling behind the free software.

jraph · 2h ago
> Why do you want to evaluate its usage?

I never implied this. This subthread is about countering your affirmation that Android being based on the linux kernel has no single meaningful implication. It's not anymore about evaluating usage and counting stuff.

This all started with a commenter writing "Android systems don't even run the linux kernel in any real sense", which is wrong, or at least highly misleading and confusing (I do agree with this commenter about the fact that we are talking about forks that don't upstream their shit, which does have severe implications). You could say that Android systems usually don't run mainline Linux kernel.

> you can conclude that Windows and MacOS start falling behind the free software.

I wish :-) And I wouldn't generally include Android in the free software family, few people run Replicant or some Android flavor without the Google services, let alone without proprietary blobs. (I would count blob-free Android)

vkazanov · 3h ago
In practice Linux is a family of different OSes. Sometimes POSIX-centric, sometimes not.

What do you even count as "an OS"? Linux + gnu userland + Gnome? Or is it KDE? Embedded Linux? Does ChromeOS count? LG's WebOS?

oblio · 2h ago
Desktop Linux has a clear scope, and we all know. We can act like we don't, but we do.

Can I install LibreOffice on Android? Gnome, KDE, Xfce? Which percentage of packages in the Debian repos can I use on Android?

vkazanov · 2h ago
Linux is a kernel, that's it. There is an organisation maintaining it, and also the trademark.

There is also a major family of OSes building on the kernel + gnu userspace, which you probably call "desktop linux".

In my house there are dozens of devices running linux the kernel: routers, a tv set, washing machines, NAS, printers, etc. Some have the full gnu posix-like stack, others are very barebones.

Then, there's is a bunch of android devices running the kernel as well.

What's wrong with all of these? At what point should i draw a line?

palata · 2h ago
To me, Desktop Linux is the Linux I run on my work computer: the one that has a screen, a keyboard and a mouse. It is based on Linux (obviously), the GNU userland to some extent, and then it has a graphical environment (usually based on Xorg or Wayland).

This is different from embedded Linux or Linux on a server. And this is different from Linux-the-kernel (which runs on Android).

vkazanov · 2h ago
Well, you came up with a rather vague definition. Xorg OR wayland. Gtk or qt? Which set of tools do you expect to be available?

All of that is just too nebulous. Linux is something that runs the kernel, that's about it.

I mean, I've been using linux for all of my life, servers, at home, for work, embedded dev, corporate environment, as a manager and as a dev, etc.

What I see is that linux as already everywhere. Desktop space is the only OS market where non-linux OSes are in the majority, and maybe this is why people are so excited about these pointless numbers.

jraph · 33m ago
Desktop Linux is difficult to define exactly, but the idea has merits. Something that's not proprietary, and that's not incredibly closed / locked / controlled by a monopolist like Android or Chrome OS.

> maybe this is why people are so excited about these pointless numbers.

I'd be excited by numbers showing an increase free software use, including the OS, first and foremost.

For what I personally care, I'd be happy to drop the Linux kernel requirement and extend the scope to Desktop BSDs and other open source desktop OS as well. People being trapped in closed OSes that happen to be based on a Linux kernel is of limited comfort anyway, actually.

sophacles · 1h ago
What if I run linux + gnu + gnome over rdp on VM a server in a rack somewhere that has no screen keyboard and mouse on it? Am i using desktop linux or not?

What if that same VM also is running nginx and serving up web content?

What if I have a pc with a keyboard and monitor sitting literally on my desktop, and it's running linux + gnu but no graphical environment, and I use it for coding (it has music playing when I do this, and i sometime check email or github issues, etc via cli) - yes I've done this, even recently to reduce distractions... some days GUIs are bad for my adhd. Is that a desktop linux? If not, why? What's different about this than doing basically the same thing, but also having a browser open when it's surrounded by a GUI?

hagbard_c · 3h ago
Try Termux and you'll be surprised how much 'Linux' software runs fine on Android, this includes things made to run under X11 etc.
thesuperbigfrog · 2h ago
Termux turns my Android phone into a programmable pocket computer.

https://termux.dev/en/

Please give it a try and if you find it useful, donate.

fsflover · 2h ago
jraph · 2h ago
What's your point? This mess is caused by Google policies, not technical considerations. You can still install Termux from F-Droid.

We can argue about Android being a horrible OS for all sorts of reasons but that's a separate discussion.

jauntywundrkind · 1h ago
> Almost every Android version imposes new major restrictions when it comes to security requirements, and specifically the Android 10 version update was dramatic for Termux usage, as it disallowed executing downloaded files directly.

> The Termux app avoided that by using a targetSdkVersion of Android 9, declaring that it was not compatible with the Android 10 requirements.

Android level 9 is from Android 2 Gingerbread (2010!!). https://apilevels.com/

For now it's not a huge barrier to Termux running. We can go run Android 2 stuff today, & maybe Android will forever be backwards compatible.

It does mean that Termux can't build a top or use any new Android features. Termux is glued to a truly ancient version of Android, because Android became inhospitable to basic Linux userland use cases. Seems its mostly about being unable to run downloaded code, which feels admittedly like very much "just a technicality", but boy oh boy has that technicality kept Android from expanding outside of its own bespoke userland.

jraph · 1h ago
> > The Termux app avoided that by using a targetSdkVersion of Android 9, declaring that it was not compatible with the Android 10 requirements.

> Android level 9 is from Android 2 Gingerbread (2010!!). https://apilevels.com/

Wait, no, Termux is not stuck at Gingerbread, it's stuck at Android 9 (Pie).

Agree with the rest though. Android is a sinking ship, not only the Termux issue, but the increasing number of basic apps and features that are proprietary and not part of AOSP. I hope we'll be able to be caught by Linux Mobile or something like this in time.

zozbot234 · 1h ago
Right, Android target levels are so different in how they behave towards applications that they're practically best treated as distinct OS's to begin with. There's really no such thing as a unified Android or iOS, unlike Windows or desktop Linux where even a program from the mid-1990s will run unmodified in the latest version of the OS.
jraph · 58m ago
> Android target levels are so different in how they behave towards applications that they're practically best treated as distinct OS's to begin with

You can run applications running different target levels side by side though

> desktop Linux where even a program from the mid-1990s will run unmodified in the latest version of the OS

mhm... I wish but that's not so true for Linux. Your old program will likely be missing some dynamic library or be incompatible with your current libc. Desktop Linux userspace is awfully unstable, compatibility is broken left and right, basically no one cares except the Linux kernel itself. There's a reason people jokingly say that win32, through wine, is the most stable Linux API. If you still have the source code of your program (and the linux ecosystem is full of free software so that's likely), you can always recompile but you'll probably need to edit the code so it's compatible with the current versions of libraries).

I've heard macOS is not great at this neither.

charcircuit · 54m ago
>Termux is glued to a truly ancient version of Android, because Android became inhospitable to basic Linux userland use cases.

No, this only a problem with Termux's approach of trying to put all apps into a single app. One Linux app should correspond to one Android app. This also makes it so that permissions you grant to the app is not to all of termux, but to a specific app.

jraph · 49m ago
> trying to put all apps into a single app

That's not exactly what it does, it dynamically downloads the programs using apt-get.

I get the security benefits of preventing the execution of data stuff, but building one Android app for each binary is difficult to work with.

charcircuit · 41m ago
>it dynamically downloads the programs using apt-get.

And then runs them as the Termux app. I didn't mean to imply that it put all of the apps into itself at build time.

>Android app for each binary is difficult to work with.

You could group multiple binaries that belong to a single conceptual app into a single android app. What do you think would make it difficult to work with? I think most of it could be automated away.

zozbot234 · 36m ago
The principled way of doing this (while coping with the new post-Pie restrictions) would be to build a new "updated" .apk on-device with a new /usr/bin/ equivalent, then have the user explicitly "install" it and relaunch Termux. It would work no different than any live-CD install, or for that matter any other kind of "immutable" OS.
jraph · 19m ago
But then, everything runs under the same Termux user app again, just with extra cumbersome steps. And I'm not sure it's possible to do this safely, you need the APK to be signed, and the only way to do this would be to share the private key. And likely to have a good chunk of the Android SDK bundled with Termux. A version that runs on Android anyway.

Not sure it would fly with Google's Play Store policies.

to your parent:

> And then runs them as the Termux app. I didn't mean to imply that it put all of the apps into itself at build time.

ok, got you

fsflover · 2h ago
Touché.
palata · 3h ago
No software compiled for arm will run on x86. No software depending on Qt will run without Qt, even if you have GTK.

Doesn't mean they don't run the same kernel, does it?

fsflover · 3h ago
You can recompile software for a different architecture relatively easily. You can't easily rewrite GNU/Linux software to run on Android.
palata · 3h ago
And you can't easily rewrite Qt software to use GTK. Still they both run on Linux.
msgodel · 3h ago
You probably could if Android weren't intentionally constrained by Google to prevent it. That's what fsflover is trying to point out: Android is more of a television firmware than an OS and counting it like a PC OS makes very little sense because you can't use it like one.

EDIT: I think you still don't understand. It doesn't matter what hardware Android runs on it's written to be appliance firmware. Even if you put it on a laptop it just turns the laptop into what is essentially a television.

palata · 2h ago
So I was saying that Android runs the Linux kernel, period.

But now that you say it, Android is very much a full OS. It's not a Linux Desktop, but it is a full OS. And televisions running Android are called "smart TVs", precisely because they run a full OS instead of a minimal firmware like they used to.

Google is working on bringing Android to the Desktop, and Samsung already does it. As in: you plug your smartphone into a docking station and it is suddenly a Desktop computer.

MYEUHD · 2h ago
Checkout https://postmarketos.org Those vendor provided kernel trees let you run a real Linux distribution on your phone.
zozbot234 · 2h ago
PostmarketOS doesn't use downstream kernel trees because those are useless for anything that's not AOSP-based (unless you use terrible hacks like libhybris) and are often not upgradable to newer versions. They rely on "close-to-mainline" kernels that are much closer to real Linux.
assbuttbuttass · 3h ago
You can run Linux software on Android via termux, or the amazing UserLAnd app even lets you install an entire distro userland with several choices (Debian, Arch, etc)

No comments yet

cherryteastain · 2h ago
Android is Linux

Android is not GNU/Linux.

Article talks about GNU/Linux clearly. There is a point to the whole "I'd like to interject for a moment..." copypasta and Android's situation is the clearest illustration of it.

throwaway0665 · 2h ago
The article talks about browsers that use Linux in the user agent. This includes Alpine Linux - which is not GNU/Linux. It also splits out Chrome OS which is pretty much GNU/Linux.
blueflow · 59m ago
Alpine and GNU/Linux are Posix, while Android is not.
TheDong · 14m ago
I don't think Posix is very relevant to what is or isn't linux.

macOS is more posix than NixOS, but everyone knows NixOS is a real linux distro, and macOS is not one.

jraph · 2h ago
> There is a point to the whole "I'd like to interject for a moment..." copypasta and Android's situation is the clearest illustration of it.

Well… :-)

With you in spirit, but to add to the mess, one could argue Alpine (and Postmarket OS) is a standard Linux distro, but non GNU.

"GNU/" cannot be used for clarifying things anymore.

charcircuit · 2h ago
This has been repeated for so long that in the meantime enough of the changes have been upstreamed such that Android has been able to run with the upstream kernel since 6 years ago.
kube-system · 3h ago
> The Steam Deck very much runs Linux Desktop. Android runs the Linux kernel, but everything else is different.

Linux is a kernel.

jraph · 3h ago
Seeing how the Linux name is used in practice, it's useful to clarify.
giancarlostoro · 1h ago
"IT'S GNU/LINUX!" ~ rms
sneak · 3h ago
A distinction without a difference. The point of this subthread is that the term Linux is overloaded to mean two things: a kernel and also an OS that has certain assumptions (usually glibc and some unix userspace stuff).

The point being that “Linux Desktop” means something more than “runs the Linux kernel”.

rhabarba · 2h ago
There is not even one common "the Linux kernel".
palata · 3h ago
Which is exactly why people here talk about "Linux Desktop". Linux is a kernel, Linux Desktop is some flavour of a full OS made to run on a PC, as opposed to e.g. embedded Linux or a Linux server.

Not sure what your point is?

anthk · 3h ago
There are no 'Linux desktops'.
tuna74 · 3h ago
Yeah, but ChromeOS is just as much "Desktop Linux" as Fedora Workstation.
danieldk · 3h ago
I think that's pretty pedantic. When most people here say 'Linux Desktop', they mean the Linux kernel, GNU(-ish) userland, Wayland/X11, and some desktop like GNOME, KDE or Mate.

Though, I guess outside tech circles, people will just talk about Linux as the whole desktop OS. E.g. our municipality was promoting installing a Linux distribution to save Windows laptops after the Windows 10 apocalypse, and they just call it Linux.

Even Wikipedia says: Linux (/ˈlɪnʊks/ LIN-uuks[15]) is a family of open source Unix-like operating systems based on the Linux kernel, an operating system kernel first released on September 17, 1991, by Linus Torvalds.

9rx · 3h ago
But with respect to "Linux on the Desktop" in the context of marketshare, the interest is in seeing how far Linux has gone, not how far software running on Linux has gone.

The only reason "ChromeOS" isn't considered Linux in this dataset is because Chrome has a flag that removes Linux from the user-agent on certain systems. If we were talking about Linux on the desktop casually, or were compiling a dataset through some other means where the kernel is a known quantity, we'd most certainly include said systems.

palata · 2h ago
> When most people here say 'Linux Desktop', they mean the Linux kernel, GNU(-ish) userland, Wayland/X11, and some desktop like GNOME, KDE or Mate.

This. It actually surprises me that it's apparently not entirely clear for everybody.

nerdjon · 4h ago
Admittedly yeah SteamOS does walk that line, and I guess technically given that I think these numbers are based on browser data it would only be capturing the people that actually go into desktop mode (maybe?).

But, I think there is a conversation around this to ask how many of the people using a Steam Deck actually go into desktop mode or care that it is Linux (or even understand that it is Linux) vs would switch to a Windows version if it worked as well.

palata · 4h ago
Even in the "normal mode", I would argue that it is still Linux Desktop. A Linux Desktop init system, with a Linux Desktop userspace, with a Linux Desktop libc, with the Linux Desktop security model, a Linux Desktop package manager, a Linux Desktop compositor (it uses something based on Wayland, right?), etc.

If you open a terminal (or SSH into it), you're on Linux. It's very, very different on Android.

> how many of the people using a Steam Deck [...] care that it is Linux

Probably most don't. But that's a goal. If corporate employees could use a Linux Desktop without caring that it is Linux, it would mean that the corporation can move to Linux, and that would be big.

nialv7 · 3h ago
I think it might be good to stand back a bit and think through what we are actually excited for. Because:

1. if someone uses Linux Desktop without caring about that it is Linux, why is that different from them using Windows? 2. why do we say SteamOS count as Linux Desktop but Android doesn't? is it really because how much of it is "Linux"?

For me, I think what matters to me is who has control over it. SteamOS is based on Arch, so the community has a say over where it will go, and Valve will have to work with the community. Android/Windows are fully controlled Google/Microsoft, doesn't matter that Android is Open Source.

vladvasiliu · 2h ago
As a user, what usually matters to me is what software I'm able to run on it. So even if people don't actually care about the OS itself, they will care that X runs on it but Y doesn't, which, given enough users, may push X to support that OS.

I actually daily drive Linux (Arch) because Windows is a PITA I'm not willing to put up with. But there are things I use which still don't run on Linux (Photoshop and Lightroom), so I'm actually thinking of getting a Mac again instead of having a second PC / dual boot, even though I know that can also be irritating (though less so than Windows).

"Who controls the OS" isn't that important to me. What matters is that it gets out of my way and lets me do what I want to do with as little friction as possible. I know Linux being free means I can go and hack on it however I like. But I also have to contend with reality: I can't reasonably think that I (personnally) am going to hack on the kernel or on some desktop environment in any meaningful measure, so I still have to put up with whatever other people figure is best.

But if there are enough people like me, including those who don't actually care about what OS they're running, maybe the apps I want to run will adopt Linux. But that only matters because, as it turns out, it's the OS which I find the less irritating to use. If tomorrow Windows 12 finally became sane, I'd switch in a heartbeat. I'm not married to Linux.

schmorptron · 26m ago
I'd start that conversation from another perspective. If someone uses linux, not caring that it's not windows, then that's a milestone.
palata · 2h ago
If someone runs Linux Desktop without caring that it is Linux, it still means that they use software that runs on Linux. Say if governments move to some Linux distro, they will need an office suite, and they may pay for its development.

If someone runs SteamOS, it means that they play games on Linux. So it becomes interesting for game devs to test for Linux. And then if someone runs SteamOS, instead of a dual boot with Windows maybe they just go to the Desktop mode. Which means that instead of Microsoft Office, they use something that runs on Linux, etc.

This is good for the Linux ecosystem. And the reason I like the Linux ecosystem is because, as you say, it's not fully controlled by TooBigTech.

fragmede · 29m ago
The alternative to Microsoft Word isn't LibreOffice Writer, it's Google Docs, which is very much controlled by a big tech company.
nerdjon · 3h ago
It is an interesting distinction, unlike Android I do admit that SteamOS is obviously contributing to Linux Desktop market share. I just think it is a complicated situation.

From my understanding Xbox is running a version of Windows on their consoles (not talking about the new handhelds) tailor made for Xbox. But I would not call that adding to the Windows marketshare.

iOS and iPadOS were started with versions of OSX and then modified (and clearly share some pieces) but we would not call either of those as contributing to Mac's marketshare.

Obviously yes neither of those let you go into the traditional Mac or Windows desktop unlike SteamOS. But how the users perceive it is still important.

> Probably most don't. But that's a goal. If corporate employees could use a Linux Desktop without caring that it is Linux, it would mean that the corporation can move to Linux, and that would be big.

The problem is this works the other way also. If most users of the Steam Deck don't care or really know that it is Linux there is not much getting in the way of Microsoft coming in with their new handheld/OS and eating up that market if they can get the OS to perform as well.

Put another way, if Valve decided (not saying they would, just asking a hypothetical) to either write their own OS or switch the underlying OS to Windows but kept the look of SteamOS as it behaved now and performance was the same. Would most users of the Steam Deck know or care?

Personally I think for claims about the "linux desktop" to really matter, there has to be a conscious desire and care that it is Linux or it could disappear.

palata · 3h ago
> I do admit that SteamOS is obviously contributing to Linux Desktop market share. I just think it is a complicated situation.

Agreed. And IMO, the thing is that you can benefit from the work made on SteamOS on any Linux Desktop. By making most games run on SteamOS, Valve contributed to make Gentoo a better platform for gaming.

> If most users of the Steam Deck don't care or really know that it is Linux there is not much getting in the way of Microsoft coming in with their new handheld/OS and eating up that market if they can get the OS to perform as well.

Sure. But what I see is really the other side: if SteamOS is relevant, then game devs will have an incentive to support SteamOS, which gives the opportunity for gamers to move to SteamOS. Now they are on Linux, so they can start using software that runs on Linux.

necovek · 3h ago
I would agree on most points regarding SteamOS except for package manager: there are really two on the system — base one and Steam itself.

Users generally only care about the latter.

palata · 3h ago
Linux Desktop routinely has multiple package managers (for the better or worse): be it flatpak, pip, npm, nix... but it's still Linux Desktop. Just like you don't need to have the same libc to be a Linux Desktop.
nemomarx · 2h ago
At least some of the dedicated ones also want to run epic games or others through heroic, but that's only a little more Linux on top of steam yeah
cma · 2h ago
I think it is fixed now, but for a while you couldn't even use the touchpads on the desktop without steam running.
tuna74 · 3h ago
There is no "Desktop Linux init system" etc. There are init systems built for/on Linux.
happymellon · 2h ago
> how many of the people using a Steam Deck actually go into desktop mode or care that it is Linux

How many Windows users care that it is Windows? They just want to click on the Internet icon.

acdha · 3h ago
One way to think about it is what APIs application developers are using. If most of the code running on a Steam Deck is Windows code running under a compatibility layer, it probably doesn’t help the larger Linux community in the same way that, say, iOS popularity has helped ensure that many libraries have excellent macOS support.
anonymous_sorry · 3h ago
> But, I think there is a conversation around this to ask how many of the people using a Steam Deck actually go into desktop mode or care that it is Linux

If Linux adoption is to increase significantly (and I guess I'm of the opinion that would be a positive thing), then at some point that can only be done by acquiring users who don't care particularly deeply or understand much about their OS. That is, the vast majority of people. And that's probably not going to happen by converting that demographic to true believers.

Some of those people might decide they want to dig deeper later, and that's great. Most won't and that's fine too.

It would be a bit asymmetrical to restrict the definition of "Linux user" to folk who really care what Linux is or know their way around coreutils.

stackbutterflow · 4h ago
Think about it from a brand perspective. If you were microsoft and some flavor of windows were running on people's phone and game station, would you claim this market share? I'm sure they would.
scarface_74 · 2h ago
Market share only matters to geeks and commercial software vendors when deciding the total addressable market. A “Linux desktop” that is connected to a TV used to play games is not part of the market they care about.
BolexNOLA · 54m ago
Totally agree. It's what finally got me to commit to a linux machine for my recent desktop build!
dartharva · 1h ago
What even is "Linux Desktop" and why does Android not qualify as one? Many Android tablets (especially those with Samsung Dex) can certainly double up as desktops if its users were so willing, at least a lot more so than the Steam Deck.
DanOpcode · 47m ago
Linux Desktop is something else. When Adobe considers if it's worth to port Photoshop to run on the Linux Desktop they don't include the market share of Android devices in that calculation. It's two completely different markets: desktop Linux apps and Android apps.
jorvi · 1h ago
You are being obtuse.

99% of Steam Deck users won't ever use the desktop mode except for maybe setting up emulation or Discord.

In general, that makes Steam Deck users no more Linux users than people that use Android.

paulcole · 3h ago
If your belief is that Steam Deck is Linux Desktop then you need to count Switch/PS5/Xbox as desktops as well and take those into account with the OS percentages.
IsTom · 3h ago
Steam Deck has (accessible in menu by default) desktop mode that is just KDE with desktop icons and everything.
MostlyStable · 2h ago
I don't think his point was that it's not linux but rather that it's not a desktop, and if it counts as a desktop, then so do the rest of the gaming consoles runnining non-linux, which probably didn't get counted so the 5% would be lower.
samrus · 1h ago
This is wrong. A steamdeck in desktop mode is exactly a desktop. You can write and execute code on it the exact same way you do on your laptop

You cant do that on mobile devices or other handhelds

MostlyStable · 1h ago
Yes, you can, and yes, among the group of people represented on HN, I have no doubt that a fair number do use it this way.....but how typical is that? How often does the average steam deck owner use it as a desktop? How often does the average user leave the steam launcher? How often does the average user think of it as anything other than a gaming console?

If all you care about is some very technical sense of "how many linux desktop environments are installed in the world", then none of these questions matter. But if the reason one is interested in the "Linux Desktop market share" is some level of interest in how people are using desktop computers, and when/if they are choosing them over competing OSs like Windows and MacOS, then these questions matter a lot. My guess is that 90% of SteamDeck owners don't think about the fact that it is Linux, barely every leave the steam launcher, and were they to be looking at getting a new desktop computer, their SteamDeck experience would not make them consider a linux distro vs. Windows or MacOS.

In case it matters, I think more people should be running Linux than do, I think people over-estimate the difficulty of switching. I want the steam deck and SteamOS to be a gateway for people to switch in more contexts....I'm just skeptical that it's actually doing that more than a trivial amount.

westpfelia · 1h ago
Yea except I cant use my PS5 as a actual desktop. As in my steamdeck has a DE. My actual desktop is 4000 km away. So I have a monitor and mouse + KB plugged into my steamdeck Dock and its no different.
throwaway2037 · 59m ago
Wow, I did not know this. Does anyone know the history behind why they chose KDE over GNOME? I promise: I am not picking a fight over those two.
happymellon · 2h ago
By picking a standard menu option I can go to a traditional desktop and use Libre Office and Firefox.

Can I so that with a Switch?

I can plug in a USB dock, with a monitor, mouse and keyboard and edit images with GIMP.

Can I do that with a PS5?

If I like the Steam Deck UI, I can install a package on my desktop and pick it on login, thus gaining basically all of this functionality. I in fact do have the SteamOS 3 UI installed on a gaming PC, and it works really well.

Can I install the PS5 UI and the ability to play PlayStation games on a BSD box?

Our_Benefactors · 1h ago
> Can I do that with a Switch?

You can install Ubuntu on a Nintendo switch by using a paperclip so yes.

https://www.reddit.com/r/SwitchHacks/comments/8f0ugz/hardwar...

happymellon · 1h ago
> by using a paperclip

So, no?

Our_Benefactors · 34m ago
Yes, you can. With a paper clip.

Some installations of linux require a USB drive.

This one requires a paper clip.

Fokamul · 3h ago
> At least in my circle everyone I know has moved to their general computing being on phones and tablets which is not captured here

Interesting, could you tell me which part of US you are from?

---

My 2 cents, small country, mid-Europe, more or less in the middle of list of GDP / AIC per capita in EU.

Nearly everyone has some sort of PC or laptops for personal use.

Now it's changing, kids(~5-13yrs old) are using phones and tablets for school, Tiktok, Ytube, games. And only minority of kids is using PCs.

After they reach certain age, they've switched to PC games, at least in the past. Let's see what will happen now.

Gamers use primarily PC (Windows, because forced BS Anticheats), consoles are minority.

Probably because big tradition of piracy here, for long time it was legal to download anything. Even after forced change from EU, it's somewhat grey area and you can torrent anything, without VPN and nobody will care. But regarding pirating games, it changed years ago, with Steam of course. Like everywhere else.

Still it's funny that we have same price or sometimes even higher than US and our median salary is ~5x lower than US. :-) Here we call it "specific market", meaning "everybody buys it and everybody's stupid".

Only prosecuted cases I know, it was people uploading movies (usually local production) and they've made money from it.

In case of Germany and their automation of spamming letters from lawyers with ransom for €1k because someone on your internet torrented something. That's totally ridiculous from our point of view and it would spawn huge public backlash. I think that even lawyers torrents here :D

jabroni_salad · 2h ago
(US minnesota) recently a 23 year old new hire advised me that he doesn't have a normal computer or laptop and he buys plane tickets, files his taxes, plans projects etc on a phone or ipad. Thinking that some tasks are better suited to a desk / 2 monitors is apparently a millennial thing now .
scarface_74 · 2h ago
I had my first personal computer in 1986. But I can easily do all of those things just as conveniently on my phone.

90% of tax payers claim the standard deduction. That means filing your taxes just means going to Turbo tax and it importing your W2’s automatically if your employer uses one of the major payment providers like ADP or worse case taking a picture of your W2, clicking “Next” a few times after answering a few questions and it’s done.

Why would I need a desktop to buy plane tickets? I launch my airline app, get the ticket.

Plans? For my personal projects I use Trello. I have an M2 MacBook Air that I only bought when I was between jobs for around a month to do a side contract.

My wife wanted a new computer to replace her aging x86 MacBook Air and then her older iPad went out. We bought an iPad Air 13 inch and paid $70 for a regular old Bluetooth keyboard and mouse and that’s her “computer” now.

dmix · 1h ago
Planning a trip is one of the best usecases for not being phone-only. If it was jut "open app and buy ticket" then it'd be fine, but most trips involve a lot of moving parts that need to be in sync.

Comparing multiple different websites, copying and pasting information to share, looking up locations, etc. All way easier with a mouse, keyboard, and large tabbed browser windows.

Even Airbnb is better on desktop, since it very easily resets your search queries on the mobile app, because state is managed differently vs browser you can leave 10 different spots or multiple queries open in different tabs, which is common issue in mobile apps. And tab switching on mobile browsers is very slow.

throwaway2037 · 55m ago
I feel exactly the same: Context switching is awful on a mobile, but great on something with a mouse and keyboard. Even copy and paste on mobile still feels weird after 10 years of doing it.
scarface_74 · 44m ago
[Context: this isn’t bragging my wife and I got rid of everything we physically owned and downsized so we could do this.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44159562]

We travel so much, we keep things as “simple” as possible - Hilton and Hyatt brand hotels 95% of the time, Delta for domestic flights and preferably Delta or SkyTeam (AirFrance, Virgin Airlines, etc) for international flights. We have status with Hilton, Hyatt and Delta (Platinum Medallion) and Delta lounge access. Of course we have TSA Precheck and Clear.

We found a couple that runs a few AirBnbs in Costa Rica for our winter stays there starting next year.

In october 2022, my wife and I got rid of everything we owned that wouldn’t fit in 4 suitcases, sold our cars, rented our home [1] out to our adult son (and two of his friends that we considered family) and flew one way trips to 15 different cities until landing in our then second home [2] in Florida. We did all of the planning via a shared Google Sheet on our phone, the Delta and American airline apps and Hilton and Hyatt hotel apps.

During the past 7 months, we’ve had trips to Vegas, Costa Rica, 4-5 flights back home to ATL, a few flights to see my parents in south GA, DC, London and Niagara Falls Canada, we still have a few trips back to Atlanta and to see my parents this year.

While we are doing all of this traveling together, my wife flies to conferences and I did travel semi frequently for business as a consultant but that has died down.

At the same time, I’m managing the best use of Delta Skymiles, when to transfer points from Amex to AirFrance to get cheap domestic flights on Delta (check out r/awardtravel), Hilton points, Hyatt points either directly or by transferring from Chase. These are all using the apps.

I have a Google sheet to keep track of various credit card perks (Delta stays credits, companion passes, etc)

I have a spreadsheet with tabs for the next couple of years plans - next year we are staying in Costa Rica for a 45 days in an Airbnb and 3-4 cities domestically during the summer and a couple of other random domestic flights during the year.

I am also keeping track of my budget, when is the best time to “nomad” based on potential rental income from my home [2].

While we have one account for hotels and a shared calendar, miles flying are based on “butts in seat”, whoever flies gets the miles. But you can book flights for others using your miles. We juggle those together too.

This is all from our phones usually at night.

We really have this down to science after 3+ years.

[1] we sold our primary home last year

[2] our current home is a unit in a condotel (https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/condotel.asp) we own. When we leave for months at a time, we just pack everything we own in 4 suitcases and store what we can’t in our one car - like my “desk” which is just a card table.

We then put our unit in the rental pool and get income whenever someone stays in our unit. That covers our mortgage and all inclusive HOA fee. But that really only works in March - mid April (spring break), during the summer and the last two or three weeks of the year.

Fokamul · 1h ago
>That means filing your taxes just means going to Turbo tax and it importing your W2’s automatically

Whoa interesting, so everyone is using 3rd party company service, is it paid service or free, I've checked their website and cannot understand if it's free or not for this basic level you've mentioned.

In my country, if this was a thing, that you must pay some company to file your taxes, it would probably cause public meltdown and end of any current government :)

Here, basic level taxes are done by your employer for you, by law, for free. Because actually they don't do taxes, but they only report amount of tax advances, social security, healthcare paid by your employer, to state, (all 3 is required by law to be paid and you or your employer have big legal problems if not). And also variables for tax deduction and then "something like IRS" will just send you tax return into your account.

And for any other cases(if you have more sources of income, eg.: salary + self-employed / rent) you must do taxes yourself, website for helping you to file taxes, is managed by state agency, for free.

Or you pay some money to "tax specialist" to file your taxes for you and liability to file it right goes after them (something like accountant, but hired only for this one task)

throwaway2037 · 52m ago
US tax forms and rules are insanely complex compared to other highly developed nations. Lots of people use a commercial product called Turbo Tax to help them.
ryandrake · 35m ago
If you just have a W2 and are taking the standard deduction (applicable to many, if not most taxpayers), then there is no insane complexity. Your tax document is one and a half pages and can be done with a pen and calculator.

If you have stock trades, IRA distributions, rental income, things like that, then yea, you probably need computer-based help.

jabroni_salad · 1h ago
Personally if I am going to spend more than $100 I am going to comparison shop and I like having multiple windows open to do it in.

Opening a specific airline's app and just getting whatever they have on offer is completely foreign to me. I would think I am getting cheated.

Also, federal taxes may be easy but the only way to free-file the state tax is to do it directly with the state and that means filling out a form myself.

scarface_74 · 18m ago
I just mentioned in another comment, we travel a lot

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44583545

We don’t comparison shop. Domestically flights on Delta, hotels are either Hyatt or Hilton brand hotels. Internationally? Most Delta partners or Delta itself.

For Hilton, we get points directly and can transfer from Amex (rarely worth it). For Hyatt, points are more valuable and it’s easy to get points from Chase credit cards (r/churning) that can be transferred to Hyatt (saves us thousands a dollars a year sometimes).

On Delta, we have lounge access, 2 free checked bags, free regional (domestic, north and Central America) flight upgrades, priority check in, etc.

ryandrake · 36m ago
> 90% of tax payers claim the standard deduction. That means filing your taxes just means going to Turbo tax and it importing your W2’s automatically

Why even pay TurboTax if you're just taking the standard deduction and have only W2 income? Might as well just paper file for free. Anything more complex than that, and having a desktop monitor and full size keyboard is very useful. I can imagine even filling out 5 stock trades in TurboTax on a phone would be quite painful.

> Why would I need a desktop to buy plane tickets? I launch my airline app, get the ticket.

This one bit me recently as I did some traveling. None of the major airline apps even work on my phone anymore. Their developers all just up and decided to block use of their app on older phones with full-screen modals preventing the software from working. My only choice is to buy a new phone or do my flight booking on a desktop. Mobile apps are an absolute shit show unless you have a <= 5 year old phone.

xaitv · 2h ago
Netherlands here. Most people I know (outside of gamers) tend to have a laptop only if they have one for work anyway, they use their phones for banking, tax, searching the correct spelling of words etc. That's in the age groups from like 30 all the way to 70.

I don't think I know any non-gamer that has an actual desktop, just people with laptops.

For the gamers consoles are the vast majority, of the PC gamers pretty much all use Windows. When I tell friends I use Linux it's mostly "oh yeah I looked into that as well when Windows 11 came out but didn't end up switching".

Fokamul · 2h ago
Yes, top of the list, it shows :)

Latops and desktops, it's a mix here. Older people had mainly desktops in the past. That's my experience, at least.

Banking, yeah mainly phones because of ridiculous forced banking apps from corporate masters, like everywhere else? (certain bank even lost a lot of customers because of that)

Taxes, if you are just an employee, taxes are done by your employer for you, by law. (I presume it's a post-communism BS, so people doesn't pay attention how much taxes we pay.)

If you have other types of income, you do it yourself, you have app/website to click through it, easy. Not automatic though. Self-employed IT pay less taxes than normal employees :D and overall lower-income people pay bigger taxes by percentage, what a great country :D

We call your country Holland, great country imho, If I would thinking about moving, that's top option for me.

Only thing that keeps me here are best gun laws in EU (I have Glock, AR15 clone, Bren3 ordered), you can conceal carry nearly everywhere, you can even use gun for self-defense, sadly very low criminality here :)

Hell, I can even legally carry katana, not kidding.

Linux is used only by IT people, friends cannot switch because they play MP games with invasive Anticheat running on kernel.

Personally, I'm only switching people to Linux if they cannot afford new PC because of Win11 upgrade. Zorin OS usually.

throwaway2037 · 46m ago

    > Only thing that keeps me here are best gun laws in EU (I have Glock, AR15 clone, Bren3 ordered), you can conceal carry nearly everywhere, you can even use gun for self-defense, sadly very low criminality here :)
Wild. I had no idea you can do this in continental Europe. I found this map on Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/europe/comments/11qkksb/concealed_c...
VagabundoP · 2h ago
College students will have laptops or a laptop-like device.
adamc · 3h ago
Must be circles. I just visited relatives, and brought my laptop as well as my phone; I barely used the laptop. But my brother always uses his, and his kids used laptops, and even one of my great nieces used a laptop. Did they have phones? Yes.

Games isn't the only driver. It's hard to do things like write papers on phones.

dmd · 3h ago
Nearly everyone in our family’s (public, Massachusetts) high school writes papers exclusively on their phone.
danieldk · 3h ago
Wow, isn't that painful without a big screen and keyboard? [1] Most primary schools here (NL) use Chromebooks or Windows laptops. High schools sometimes have a BYOD, but you certainly have to bring a laptop.

[1] Of course, you can hook up most phones to a display, keyboard, mouse, but that blurring the lines a bit. A Samsung DeX device or future Pixel desktop mode device hooked up to peripherals is pretty much a desktop (Pixel will even support Linux apps in a VM).

dmd · 2h ago
To you or me, yes. And I would say “oh they just don’t know what they’re missing” but they all have laptops and chromebooks but prefer to use their phones.
spacechild1 · 24m ago
I'm a millenial and I'm touch typing. The idea of writing long texts on a phone or tablet feels ridiculous to me. I already get annoyed when I have to write an e-mail on my phone. Also, I find the mobile UX for text formatting, cut/copy/paste extremely frustrating.
chrisweekly · 2h ago
Interesting. I'm also in MA, and my daughters (like all their classmates) mostly use the chromebooks issued by their public high school. They strongly prefer their macbooks tho. Granted, we live in an affluent town. But I thought the chromebooks were a statewide thing.
eitally · 2h ago
I'm in San Jose and it's school-issued Chromebooks here, too, though many students have their own [superior] laptop they are able to use. In the case of my household, my son has a Thinkpad X1 Carbon and my daughter has a Pixelbook Go, I use a MacBook Pro M1 and my wife uses an old Pixelbook or an old iPad with a Magic Keyboard. Everyone's pretty much chained to their phones but recognize a real keyboard and bigger screen are beneficial for certain tasks (like writing, or Khan Academy, or even consuming media).
dmd · 2h ago
We’re also in a quite affluent town, and yes everyone does have chromebooks. But they’re considered uncool to use.
esseph · 1h ago
In highschool classes forever ago we had to write 20+ page papers. I can't imagine trying to do that on a phone!
generic92034 · 18m ago
These days might be gone, with the availability of LLMs now. You only need to prompt a bit, then it is all copy and paste. I have no idea if the students are learning a whole lot this way, though.
virgildotcodes · 3h ago
This is incredible, wow.
FirmwareBurner · 3h ago
How do you write long school papers on the phone's tiny screen and keyboard?
bryanlarsen · 2h ago
ChatGPT?
FirmwareBurner · 1h ago
Good point. You don't even need to use the screen and keyboard for that, just voice prompts. Kids are already living in the future.
zeroc8 · 3h ago
The truth is, it doesn't really matter.

What's important is that we have an alternative to keep Microsoft and Apple honest. If they overdo it with their crappy ideas - like showing ads in the start menu or recording the desktop - then people can easily switch, at least for personal computing.

generic92034 · 15m ago
But those "features" exist, and people did not switch (at least not in great numbers).
itsoktocry · 3h ago
>everyone I know has moved to their general computing being on phones and tablets

And of the remaining desktop/laptop users, 90% of their work is being done in a browser. Which makes Linux distros like Ubuntu suitable for more people.

scarface_74 · 2h ago
If you are doing all of your work in a browser anyway, you might as well use a less finicky iPad with longer battery life with a regular Bluetooth keyboard and mouse.

Why would I recommend a Linux system?

JohnFen · 2h ago
> Outside of gamers, I don't know anyone that has a computer at home that is not their work laptop if they have one.

Interesting. I don't know anyone who doesn't have a personal computer at home. Mostly laptops. With the exceptions of nerds like myself, the signifier that someone is a gamer is that their home computer is a tower rather than a laptop.

I wonder how much regional variation there is around this sort of thing? It sounds like it might be quite a lot.

chrisweekly · 2h ago
FWIW, this is my experience too. I'm 50yo, live in the Boston area.
ryandv · 3h ago
> At least in my circle everyone I know has moved to their general computing being on phones and tablets which is not captured here.

> [...] (more technical, needing to do tasks not possible on phones and tablets)

Somewhat unrelated but something I never see discussed is how the form factor of the computing device changes our relationship to, and the types of, media that we produce and consume.

One critical task not possible on phones and tablets is the production of long-form textual media; hence the concomitant rise of picture and video and the smartphone camera, which is now the primary medium through which many, many people view the world. Editing anything longer than a Tweet is torturous on a phone or even a tablet, and I suspect that this lack of ergonomics is what leads to the proliferation of reductive, simplistic, short-form, and byte-sized thinking.

Computing "interface culture" was once hyper-literate; "in the beginning was the command line" [0], and people's primary way of seeing the internet was through words, keyboards, and terminals. Now we have the "colossal success of GUIs" and a Disney-fied [0], touchscreen interface to computing, where the control mechanisms used by adults are the exact same as the ones used by toddlers.

[0] https://web.stanford.edu/class/cs81n/command.txt

paulcole · 3h ago
> One critical task not possible on phones and tablets is the production of long-form textual media

The key addition obviously being “for me.”

For others tablets (and for some others, phones) are what they use for producing long-form textual media.

I, for example, have no issue producing long-form textual media on my iPad w/ Magic Keyboard.

I’m sure that you will feel as though I’m not producing Real Long-Form Textual Media.

No comments yet

eqvinox · 2h ago
> Basically if the higher percent is due to less desktops overall instead of a major uptick in Linux desktops, it is not really much to celebrate.

Why? If Windows & OSX desktops are in decline, but Linux isn't, I'd still celebrate that - apparently Linux is serving the more "important" / long-lived use cases?

nerdjon · 2h ago
The article is specifically claiming a shift and growth. But if all that really changed was an increase in percentage due to less devices overall there really isnt much of a shift or growth.

I think there is likely an argument that the people that would have previously used Linux are likely using Linux for tasks that would not easily work on a phone or a tablet and are likely more technical users.

Where as many users who would have previously used Windows or Mac for general basic computing can easily accomplish those tasks on their phones or tablets. (Not all tasks obviously, but there are a lot of tasks that an iPad can do that you would have previously done on your traditional computer).

That is why to me just celebrating a percent change really is not telling us much of the story. And to be clear here, I am asking the question not to say that the number is not something to celebrate but to ask why the number is the way it is and celebrate accordingly.

giancarlostoro · 1h ago
I'm not sure but going on 3 years now after having mostly only used it full time at a previous job where everyone's workstation was a Linux one.

It helps that I can now do all of my gaming on Linux, so I'm not touching Windows again, outside of an employer paying for my work devices to use it on.

TuringTest · 2h ago
> Basically if the higher percent is due to less desktops overall instead of a major uptick in Linux desktops, it is not really much to celebrate.

So, the true meaning of the "Year of the Linux Desktop" was that in the end there would only be a single unit left?

dfxm12 · 2h ago
Yeah, are there any big box retailers selling machines with Linux installed as an option? Maybe the numbers are small enough for hobbyists to make a dent, but until you see Linux machines in best buy, etc., this is probably due more to people dumping their personal windows machine in favor of a using their work laptop or iPad almost exclusively.
donkeybeer · 2h ago
Dell
nobodyandproud · 2h ago
> Outside of gamers, I don't know anyone that has a computer at home that is not their work laptop if they have one.

A Linux desktop is far better to run LLM experiments with.

My home, tinker workstation used to be Windows but there was no reason to keep it that way, when most of the build and support tooling prefer Linux.

oblio · 2h ago
That's a tiny minority of PC users, though.
nobodyandproud · 2h ago
It’s not 50% territory; but it’s enough to push it up from 1-2% to 5%.

There’s interest in LLM and GenAI beyond regular tinkerers; local NSFW image generator models are apparently a thing.

api · 2h ago
Tablets and phones have replaced PCs for casual use and content consumption. If you want to make anything beyond posts and videos you usually need a PC.

Mobile OSes are strictly designed for consumption and are too restricted for most other use cases. It’s an OS limit not a hardware issue.

leereeves · 3h ago
How many of the Linux desktops counted here are Steam Decks?

The stats come from website trackers - do people browse the web on Steam Decks?

qwertycrackers · 19m ago
I do. It's a device that is often hooked up to my TV so it becomes the shared device for watching things like Youtube.
freehorse · 1h ago
People do all kinds of crazy stuff with steam decks. I don't own one, but at least I give to steam that they created a general computing device that people can use however they please instead of yet another walled garden console. It would not surprise me if people actually also use them to browse the web.
theandrewbailey · 5h ago
I work in the refurb division of an e-waste recycling company. Due to licensing costs and our certifications, we can't sell anything with Windows. My coworkers install Ubuntu, but I install Linux Mint. We don't have any clue if people keep using Linux or install Windows, but it's cool to think we're helping to move this needle.

Edit: might as well link to the merch: https://www.ebay.com/str/evolutionecycling

whizzter · 4h ago
I think this plays a huge part, is it elders/poorer/others that receive these machines? A new machine for an enterprise or gamer will probably retain windows because it's needed but people not using their computers for more than surfing will be happy enough.

On that side-note I would also not be surprised if people are leaving "computers" altogether in favor of phones, it's a capable enough computer today for most lay-people, my ex and her parents don't have computers anymore and my daughter hardly uses her either.

Those that actually need computers such as developers are more prone to use Linux anyhow (especially when Microsoft is pushing annoying features such as forced reboots for those dropping their computers anyhow onto powerusers).

WJW · 4h ago
Anecdotal evidence, but Steams' Proton compatibility layer that lets you run Windows-only games on Linux works really really well. I haven't had to log into years and years by now.
alias_neo · 3h ago
I've been gaming on Linux for about a decade now full time, and somewhat before that too. I don't have a single Windows machine any more. My laptops are running Arch, my wife's personal Laptop runs Mint, her work machine is Windows because it has to, my work machine is Ubuntu, and my 5yo plays Minecraft on an Arch + Gnome laptop.

7-8 years ago it was pretty frustrating to spend £4k+ on a gaming rig to be unable to play a bunch of titles but I will not use Windows, I just accepted it.

Fast forward to today, and I'm playing Helldivers 2, with its anti-cheat and everything online with my nephew who's on Windows and getting far, far better performance (granted my PC is also more powerful). I can play the modern DOOM games with better performance than if I was running Windows on the same hardware.

My point is, Linux gaming is only getting better, I now also own a ROG Ally which I "flashed" (installed the same way you would any other Linux distro) with Bazzite straight out of the box without even booting Windows and I can play the single-player games I like to while travelling, or can have a quick game of Helldivers with my nephew if I'm not near my PC but have a stable connection. When I need/want to I can plug it into a monitor/kb/mouse with a single cable and have a full desktop with HDR, VRR etc.

threetonesun · 1h ago
I'm mostly a Mac user but I tested Windows 11 versus Bazzite in VMs in my Unraid server, and the Windows 11 install was a nightmare to then be left with a nightmare UI and a bundle of GPU driver issues, meanwhile Bazzite took two clicks and worked.

Obviously there are very cutting edge drivers you can't get on Linux, and Nvidia support is questionable, and some anti-cheat doesn't work, etc, but if you mostly play games released in [current year - a few] on hardware released [current year - a few] it's really a much more enjoyable experience.

alias_neo · 26m ago
I've never really used old hardware, and generally I've not had too many issues using the latest hardware with Linux. I don't tend to buy PC hardware on release day either, so within a few weeks/months of release when I'm buying, drivers are usually available. I've been through a half dozen generations of Intel laptop for work usually with Nvidia GPUs but my current one is the first with an Intel Arc GPU, for which there are no Ubuntu 24.04 drivers as far as I'm aware, and I'm not entirely sure whether it is/can run the dedicated GPU right now or if I'm using the iGPU; but my work doesn't require GPU accel beyond my desktop and my IDE and terminal (Alacritty).

The biggest issue I find is external devices that need firmware flashing require some crap piece of Windows software from the manufacturer in order to flash, so I'll spin up a Windows VM and USB passthrough to do the update then blow it away again.

kwanbix · 1h ago
I hate W11 to the point that I am still running W10 (IoT) on my machines (I also run Solus and Mint). That said, I have never experienced what you say in the first paragraph.
threetonesun · 30m ago
Windows has at least three screens in the install that are upsells on other Microsoft products, plus a screen where you have to disable multiple analytics trackers. The GPU driver issue might have been a VM issue but to get even basic support I needed to install the AMD drivers, and ended up in some endless loop of the installer telling me it could install drivers for my GPU, installing them, then saying it wasn't supported. I figured the issue out eventually, after watching the AMD installer (with ads!) run for the Nth time, but like I said I'm not trying anything cutting edge, so drivers baked into the OS that I don't have to think about are much nicer.
zelphirkalt · 1h ago
I hear this all around and I am myself running GNU/Linux almost all the time, but running games on Steam on my default OS, which is a Debian with KDE currently, that is more miss than hit. I even know someone who has almost the same hardware, also runs a GNU/Linux system and for them almost all games work using Proton. For me however they don't. I already tried proprietary graphics card drivers instead of the ones that come with the OS for amdgpu, HWE kernel, another distro, using Steam installer downloaded from website ... nothing seems to fix the issue. When I click on the big green "Play" button in Steam, for many times it loads for a moment, and the button turns into a blue "stop" button, but then just turns back into a green "play" button, never starting the game. Mind, some games work, like Stardew Valley for example. But I think those are mostly already made to work cross platform.

I have no idea what I can still try, and it annoys me, that for most games I still have to reboot into Windows to play them. I seem to have had more luck following guides for using WINE for specific games in the past, when I made games like StarCraft 2 work better than on Windows, than I have had with Steam and Proton so far.

So anecdote. It is not smooth sailing for everyone yet, unfortunately, and I don't know what the issue is.

esseph · 1h ago
Debian is just not going to have access to as much up to date software as it probably needs, even with testing back ports, to run well. I say this as a very long time Debian user that is really struggling in this day and age to find a place for Debian among my devices at this point.
doodlesdev · 56m ago
Out of curiosity, what distribution have you been using lately instead of Debian?

Anecdotally, I've been using Fedora Workstation for a few years already, and my Steam + Proton Experimental experience has been fantastic with an AMD GPU using the drivers that come with the kernel.

Although I must admit, I miss having a Debian-based distribution sometimes, because in some situations I can't find rpm packages for more specific things I'm trying to do in my system. The problem is I just don't know any other distribution that's not Debian Testing that could work like Fedora Workstation but with .deb packages.

ecshafer · 1h ago
Which steam do you use? I have heard that some people have issues with the Snap, Flatpack or Native versions. Also for proton there are different "versions" you can try, experimental or 9 is usually what I run.
agoodusername63 · 59m ago
The case that this is true is only if you don't have an Nvidia GPU or don't play D3D12 games.

I tried it, discovered that Nvidia has a known regression that causes anywhere up to 25% lower performance compared to Windows in GPU limited games in D3D12, and immediately went back to Windows.

I'll never understand why people keep championing Linux for gaming when it has such a severe regression on the most common gaming GPU vendor. Steam says 75%. An Nvidia employee even stated that the fix is not trivial so they're not committing to a timeline for a fix. This is a year+ old issue. They're never fixing it because it doesn't affect CUDA.

https://github.com/NVIDIA/egl-wayland/issues/164#issuecommen...

jandrese · 1h ago
For me Proton works sometimes, but I've had much more success with the third party Glorious Eggroll versions that include the Microsoft Codecs used by many games for in-game video.
fmbb · 4h ago
Same. Finally no reason to boot Windows on any machine.
latexr · 4h ago
I’ve been wanting to do this for years on an old (and severely underpowered) MacBook Pro which I use with Windows exclusively for Games.

Do you have any recommendation for an extremely lightweight Linus distro which installs and runs Steam fine? It would be used exclusively for that, so it shouldn’t run a ton of background stuff.

tomrod · 4h ago
Depends on your view of lightweight, but probably XFCE Ubuntu (Xubuntu) will serve you great. Full featured without a ton of bloat, historically.
latexr · 4h ago
> Depends on your view of lightweight

Basically, what I care is that as I’m running the game, the system is consuming as few resources as possible. It’s an outdated machine, so every bit matters.

> probably XFCE Ubuntu (Xubuntu)

Thank you. Will check it out.

tomrod · 2h ago
I'm a big fan of Linux. My small business and personal life run on it. You can download XFCE/Ubuntu spin at https://xubuntu.org/download/. If you develop on your Apple system, it will be pretty similar except

- App Installation via repositories is more common than single program installs. No DMG files. There is a similar concept to DMG with "snap" installs. Steam should probably be installed via a snap. You trust the producer (Valve). But most software and security should come through repos (in CLI, sudo apt update && sudo apt upgrade)

- Home directory is /home/<username>

Much of the rest is similar -- Apple's BSD and Linux share a common Unix design progenitor.

Linux is way open to rewipe, just pay attention that you don't lose files. My first day on Linux in the mid 2000s, I somehow overwrite the file system allocation table with the content of an MP3. It was recoverable!

Good luck, and have fun!

delecti · 3h ago
Check out Bazzite. It started as a way to approximate SteamOS for general hardware.

Or if you have an AMD GPU, you could even try SteamOS itself, though it's intended for handhelds.

latexr · 3h ago
I thought about SteamOS but didn’t seem viable for that Mac.

Bazzite looks to be the next best thing. Probably what I’m looking for. Thank you.

theandrewbailey · 2h ago
> I think this plays a huge part, is it elders/poorer/others that receive these machines?

I know that a large portion of our business is to other resellers and businesses. FWIW, long before I started working here, I replaced XP with Xubuntu on my parent's computer about 15 years ago. I told them that "it works like Windows[0]", showed them how to check email, browse the web, play solitare, and shut down. Even the random HP printer and scanner worked great! I expected a call from them to "put it back to what it was", but it never happened. (The closest was Mom wondering why solitare (the gnome-games version) was different, then guided her on how to change the game type to klondike.)

[0] If "it [Xubuntu] works like Windows" offended you, I'd like to point out that most people don't care about how operating system kernels are designed. They care about things like a start menu, and that the X in the corner closes programs.

keyringlight · 2h ago
One thing I wonder about with people moving to linux is whether "it works like windows" can act as a safe and comfortable landing point, but then how many people explore and prefer the options that they then have access to.

One aspect MS has been criticized for over the past few versions of windows is that they are opinionated about how the base windows UI operates and looks for a very large number of users. One of the things I find interesting on the subreddits for some distros is a lot of posts is showing off how they've customized things, so you can nudge people towards the theming support or panel components you can swap out, or that you can have drastically different DEs with different operation models yet handle the same applications.

bargainbin · 57m ago
Would just like to add it’s not needed so much now. I’m a pretty avid gamer and I’ve been using Bazzite as my OS now for months without issue.

Proton has completely changed the game (pun not intended). All that’s really missing now is the big studios who won’t release their anticheat for Linux.

tossandthrow · 4h ago
My intuition is that most people, unless they have specific needs, just keep it.

Most people likely don't have an opinion besides being able to browse the web and will not even be aware that they are not using Windows.

So this is great work! Keep it up!

exiguus · 3h ago
Actually, as a long time Linux Desktop user, i have at least 4, refurbished bought Notebooks in my place yet. Beside the 4, another 3 new new bought Notebooks.

The reason why I buy refurbished is, that my use-cases don't need the newest hardware and for a long time, older hardware was more compatible with Linux and BSD for me. Also, you get for a small price, high quality hardware.

If you now ask yourself, why that many notebooks? Notebooks are like handbags. They have to match the occasion.

sevensor · 2h ago
Agreed! Old laptops are more than powerful enough for Linux, and I like having purpose-oriented computers. The hobby programming computer doesn’t have games on it and is at any rate too weak to run them. The music laptop has every flac I ever ripped from a CD, and precious little disk space for anything else. And so on.
tempfile · 3h ago
I am the same. I decided a few years ago that I really really like the thinkpad t450, and have gradually bought 5 of them online for a total cost of about 300 USD. I may never need to buy a laptop ever again.
exiguus · 2h ago
Yes, over the past 15 years I bought at least a dozen used thinkpads of the X series (x201, x220, x230 and x1). Most of them are now with other family members and friends (they are now also Linux Desktop user). And I still use 3 of them. One daily, the other weekly, and the 3rd for conferences. Beside that, I am also a fan of the T and yet of the P series. And I have a small collection of thinkpads with the big blue logo from the A and R series, but that's mostly just for fun.
sevensor · 2h ago
The link is appreciated! I like the selection of ruggedized laptops.
theandrewbailey · 58m ago
Thanks! I've been going through my to-do stack, and there was quite a few there. They've been selling fast! I've got a stack of Toughbooks to go through, too... someday.
shaunpud · 4h ago
I thought the Windows license was burned into the BIOS, so a reinstall would pick it up automatically?
ergsef · 4h ago
I worked selling refurb computers and this wasn't the case from Windows 95 - XP. The rise of TPMs and EFI is after that time so it's possible some newer system provides a way of tying licenses to computers, but it's not BIOS.
izacus · 1m ago
Windows XP has been launched 23 years ago. Things may have changed inbetween.
layer8 · 4h ago
It’s not burned into the BIOS, instead Microsoft maintains a database mapping licenses to hardware identifiers. But transferable licenses still exist, and enterprise volume licenses are yet a different beast, so it all depends on what Windows license the PC was originally sold with, if any.
FirmwareBurner · 4h ago
>It’s not burned into the BIOS, instead Microsoft maintains a database mapping licenses to hardware identifiers.

Wrong. IT IS 100% stored in the UEFI firmware, specifically ACPI tables, MSDM field. Only if that exists, it is then verified on-line for activation to make sure the license is genuine and matches the device ID you're referring to for witch the license was sold(typically for OEM) or if it's portable.[1]

On linux you should be retrieve the license via something like:

  sudo strings /sys/firmware/acpi/tables/MSDM
OR

  sudo acpidump | grep MSDM
[1] https://www.cyberciti.biz/faq/linux-find-windows-10-oem-prod...
mr_toad · 4h ago
It’s in the ACPI tables, in ACPI Non-Volatile RAM (NVRAM), not the BIOS. An home user might be able to active it, but the repair shop probably can’t legally.
zozbot234 · 4h ago
The biggest issue right now is really the upcoming EOL of Windows 10. Most of these machines will be old enough (pre Intel 8th gen or Zen 2) that they won't be officially supported by Windows 11.
theandrewbailey · 3h ago
I make a note of both in listings where that is applicable.
theandrewbailey · 3h ago
On most machines we sell that's probably the case. I don't know of anything that stops me from linking people to the official Windows installation media on Microsoft's site, so I do that even on the listing.
aquova · 4h ago
That might be even worse then, you'd be reselling a machine which was licensed under the previous owner's Windows key
art0rz · 4h ago
How is that worse when the key is bound to the hardware and non-transferable anyway?
master-lincoln · 4h ago
why would it be non-transferable?
mr_toad · 4h ago
OEM licenses are legally (and practically) tied to the machine. There’s no way to transfer it.
art0rz · 4h ago
Sorry, I thought it was a reply to https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44581124
RALaBarge · 3h ago
Hey, that seems like a cool gig
theandrewbailey · 16m ago
It is! If my supervisor didn't kick everyone out at 5 and lock the place, I'd probably work all night everynight nerding out over everything in there.
Pxtl · 1h ago
How do you keep them auto-updated? I've just started on Mint and I'm disappointed how the software installer/updater still needs the admin password.

No comments yet

jsnell · 4h ago
The statscounter data is not reliable, and it is just embarrassing how often these posts make it to the HN frontpage.

You even have a demonstration in this very article, with the surge of classic Mac OS to 7% for several months. The data is obviously nonsense, and when it has errors nobody at the company cares about them. But when they have persistent "data reporting issues", why are we supposed to believe any of these numbers?

zokier · 3h ago
Bingo.

Cloudflare has also OS stats available and I'd imagine they are far more reliable. Some silver lining of them having such wide dragnet on the web. They report 4.4% Linux desktop marketshare in the US. Tbh I believe the summer vacation season probably influences the numbers here, but there is some real growth too.

https://radar.cloudflare.com/explorer?dataSet=http&groupBy=o...

827a · 2h ago
1. Radar is also reporting a Linux increase over the past month: 3.3% to 4.4%.

2. Both StatsCounter and Radar break out Linux and ChromeOS; if you combine them, StatsCounter hits 7.7%; Radar hits 6.3%.

3. That being said: Both StatsCounter and Radar experienced an anomalous drop in ChromeOS clients & rise in Linux clients over the past month. StatsCounter took ChromeOS from ~4.4% to 2.7%. Radar took it 2.6% -> 1.9%.

This kind of implies that something changed with a major ChromeOS device out that; some model/version maybe changed its UA and started reporting itself as a Linux device instead.

zokier · 1h ago
ChromeOS drop is pretty easily explained by it being predominantly used in education and schools being closed for summer. And that drop muddies all other numbers, because of course the percentages of others go up when one goes down. In summary, I'd wait until November (or at least October) before making any broad conclusions.
juliusdavies · 2h ago
I find this compelling, alongside the fact ChromeBooks are well placed in retail shops and usually the cheapest things you can buy. They are also ubiquitous in elementary schools. This is more about ChromeBooks than linux.

Add the fact that all my kids hate their school chromebooks.... maybe this isn't such great news for Linux afterall.

danso · 3h ago
Mentioned this in another comment [0], but analytics.usa.gov has the % of visitors on Linux operating systems at 5.7% in 2025, up from 4.5% in 2024. Of course "visitors to U.S. government websites" is not fully representative of all U.S. computer users, but it's worth noting.

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44582058

supriyo-biswas · 4h ago
Additionally, with the number of people who use ad blockers on Linux and given that statcounter mostly uses 3rd party JS tags, I highly doubt these numbers are correct.

There's a discussion in a peer thread about how people never notice its Linux and keep using their refurbished machines as-is. This too, is surprising to me, as my own experience as well as the ones I've heard in person from IT folks and IT-related forums online, people immediately notice that the UI looks different and panic as to how to achieve their current tasks. I'm skeptical of that entire thread too.

In general, I just wonder how much of any popular forum is just people LARPing. I do wish that it didn't occur here, though it's undoubtedly difficult to moderate.

ryukoposting · 3h ago
> people immediately notice that the UI looks different and immediately panic as to how to achieve their current tasks

This was probably a bigger problem 10 years ago than it is now. Plenty of people never do anything at all with their computer besides opening a browser. No matter what OS you use, "click the Chrome logo" still applies.

I've watched my grandparents use a computer. I guarantee I could swap out Windows for KDE or Cinnamon and, as long as I make the wallpaper the same and I put the Chrome icon in the same place, they wouldn't notice anything had changed. I'm not actually going to do that, because then I become the only person in the family who can tame their computer if it starts acting out, but still.

Also, Microsoft's own UI isn't a steady target. Windows 11 is, dare I say it, more akin to Plasma 6 than it is to Windows 7.

extraduder_ire · 54m ago
Unless they're using JS for something specific, getting the user to load anything at all would give them the OS from the useragent string in almost all cases. I'd believe their URLs being included in default filter lists though.
arp242 · 4h ago
> the surge of classic Mac OS to 7% for several months

I'm not sure what's up with listing both "OS X" and "macOS", but I'm quite confident it's not classic Mac OS.

speedgoose · 2h ago
Can you even have a successful TLS handshake with Mac OS 9 ?
elsjaako · 4h ago
Note that OS X goes down for the same period. I believe Apple is calling it MacOS now.

So that looks like it might be some change in how Apple computers are reporting their OS.

jsnell · 4h ago
Indeed, OS X goes down, and obviously none of us actually believe that. But not only does Statcounter report that clearly faulty number, but they have yet to fix the problem.

This happens all the time. When their numbers are clearly wrong, they don't care about the numbers enough to fix even the glaring problems, their sample is unsound, and their methodology is unpublished, why exactly are we supposed to give any of their numbers any credence?

What you've written is the first I've heard of a recent change to the Safari on OS X user-agent string, and I see no indication of it in my access logs. What's it supposed to be now? It seems a bit unlikely, and given Safari never ran on classic Mac OS, it seems like a company that's supposed to specialize in analytics should be able to handle it...

IshKebab · 4h ago
I don't understand why Statcounter reports them separately though. They're just two different versions of the same OS, and those are grouped for other OSes in this chart. Makes no sense.
zozbot234 · 4h ago
"mac OS" not "MacOS". MacOS is for the older pre-OS X versions.
antipurist · 4h ago
It's "macOS" [1] if you really want to be pedantic. However, it's still "Intel Mac OS X" in Safari UA even on M1 MacBook, so why Statcounter data includes both OS X and macOS remains a mystery.

[1] https://www.apple.com/macos/macos-sequoia/

Longhanks · 4h ago
"macOS" not "mac OS", to align with "iOS", "iPadOS", "watchOS" and "tvOS".
oefrha · 4h ago
Pretty sure OS X and macOS should be combined, not doing that feels like amateur hour, very puzzling. But even with that in mind, you see wild ups and downs as large as 3.5% a month from 10/24 to 11/24 to 12/24 to 01/25 and there’s no way in hell actual deployments are fluctuating like that. Error bars like that make a number of 5% pretty meaningless, however feel-good it is.

Also, for people unfamiliar with the Apple ecosystem: the OS X => macOS rebranding happened back in 2016, IIRC the Safari user agent never ever included macOS (Safari on M4 Macs running latest macOS 15.5 reports itself as “Intel Mac OS X 10_15_7” in its UA), so absolutely no idea where they’re getting this new “macOS” category. Maybe they publish technical details of their methodology somewhere? I can’t bother to check.

necovek · 3h ago
Don't confuse percentage points with percents.

25%+-3.5% means it's 5%+-0.7% for proportional error bars. They don't have to be linear, true, but they are certainly not 5% +- 3.5% either.

phendrenad2 · 1h ago
I wonder what a more reliable measure would be. Maybe something like the "Crane Index" where we count the number of new software packages for Linux. Particularly, it makes sense to focus on paid software, because there's actually some bar to entry there (setting up an LLC, accepting payments, etc.) I haven't actually looked into this, but I think the initial data for this figure is zero, and we're projected to reach zero by next year.
weberer · 1h ago
You can also look at the Steam survey as another data point. Linux use among English speakers is just above 5%, but the data is biased toward power users/ gamers.

https://www.gamingonlinux.com/steam-tracker/

necovek · 3h ago
The article claims this is due to Apple rebranding OS X back to MacOS with newer releases.

Are you disputing that? Or did you miss that in the article?

jama211 · 3h ago
That’s not classic macOS… that’s modern macOS, as in post OS X dude
danso · 3h ago
For another anecdata point, https://analytics.usa.gov tracks user device demographics to all visitors of U.S. government websites. Which of course might skew in ways different than the general U.S. population. But checking out the numbers right now for Linux users:

Last 30 days: 6%

2025 so far: 5.7%

2024: 4.5%

edit: analytics.usa.gov includes iOS and Android in its operating systems breakdown — e.g. Windows has a 32% share vs OP's 63%. Assuming most of Linux users are on desktop, it could be the case that Linux share in desktop users is a bit higher than 6%

palata · 4h ago
I think that there are multiple things at play:

1. The statistics only show Desktop usage relative to each other. But I could totally imagine that macOS "loses" users to iPadOS. Similarly, Windows could be losing users to smartphones in general (I see more and more people who don't actually have a personal computer anymore).

2. Valve (and others, surely) is doing an incredible job with video games on Linux. 20 years ago, I needed a dual boot just to play games. I dropped Windows when I stopped playing, and I started playing again thanks to the Steam Deck. I am convinced that many people today "need" an OS on which they can play video games, except that today they have a choice (thanks to Valve and others).

3. Privacy. I think it's becoming a lot more important outside the US (it's actually now a national security concern there), but I'm convinced that people are slowly learning about that. TooBigTech pushing to train their AIs with everything the users do surely has an impact on that.

kattagarian · 3h ago
> Similarly, Windows could be losing users to smartphones in general

But this is desktop only. If someone stop using windows completely, it won't show a decrease in windows usage. This will basically only show when people switch from desktop OS.

smcameron · 3h ago
You sure about that math? If there are 2 linux users and 8 windows users, then that's 20% linux, 80% windows. If one windows user quits using computers, then that's 2 linux users (out of 9 total) and 7 windows users (out of 9 total), or 22% linux and 77% windows users.
kwar13 · 8m ago
I installed Ubuntu on my laptop 5 years ago and haven't looked back. Windows at this point just feels like crappy spyware. Not a single thing I miss about Windows.

Also gaming on Linux works great for the most part with Proton. Thanks Steam!

JadoJodo · 2h ago
I am in this category, but I'm growing increasingly frustrated with the state of the market for OS's:

I've used macOS for work for many years and Arch-based derivatives for personal desktop. The challenge with that has always been gaming: Gaming on Linux _mostly_ works, but third-party launchers (e.g., Battle.net, Origin, etc.) HATE it. I also don't love the Proton shuffle (i.e., "Which version of Proton do I need to use to get this to work?"), but it's tolerable for me. I'll tell you for whom it _isn't_ tolerable: my wife (who mostly uses a different system running Windows 10, but sometimes wants to use the more powerful gaming PC running Linux). And thus the only remaining choice for the home system has been Linux + Windows (in some capacity).

Now, I've not used Windows full-time since 7, but I recently installed Windows 11 (via QEMU using LookingGlass) and it is simply TERRIBLE. There are full-blown ads in the Start Menu, the built-in search ignores your default browser/search engine settings, and (critically) __you can no longer put the Start Menu bar at the top of the screen__ (It's less common, but I've done this my entire life).

I think it comes down to the following wishes:

A. I wish Windows 8/10/11 didn't suck so much.

B. I wish Linux was widely-supported by ALL game platforms.

C. I wish macOS gaming wasn't so expensive.

ActorNightly · 1h ago
Windows 11 only sucks if you get the Home version. If you get the Pro version you can disable all the annoyances. New things pop up here and there with each update every few years (recently asking to connect my phone so I can see notifications), but those can be disabled easily.

It does suck resources so using it on Laptops is not ideal, but for desktop its by far the best, mostly because of WSL2 integration, which is mature enough to not only run graphical linux apps, but also supports CUDA.

For Laptops, honestly, Linux Mint with I3wm is the way to go. Once you get used to I3, its hard to go back standard display managers with icons and menus.

andyferris · 5h ago
I have to ask - what OS do AI-training web scrapers tend to report? (A mixture? One with > 5% linux market share? Sorry, being a sceptic, otherwise I think this is fantastic news if accurately measured).
da_chicken · 4h ago
Most of these types of surveys do their best to filter out robots.

With over 50% of Internet traffic being robots, the results really don't make any sense at all if you don't.

hollerith · 4h ago
Good question. Most of these headlines about Linux market share ("mind share"?) are completely uninformative about how widespread the use of Linux is in reality.

12 years ago or so, a similar headline appeared, then someone explained that the Chinese government had recently cracked down on Windows pirating (to appease the Americans) with the result that some PC vendors had stopped including (pirated copies of) Windows with the computers they sell (shipping some Linux distro instead of course) but since pirated Windows install media was still widely available, there quickly grew a cultural practice in which the consumer installs Windows (or gets his more technically-inclined cousin to do it for him) as soon as he gets his new PC home. But the headline reported on a statistic that did not catch this cultural practice because it counted only the OSes on computers when they were sold (i.e., "OS shipments").

okasaki · 1h ago
What's "windows pirating" when Microsoft offers public ISO downloads and you can activate them with MAS?
cowboylowrez · 4h ago
I wonder if they used firefox to download internet explorer?
Nab443 · 4h ago
I tend to think that they mostly should be using their own user agent, and if not be desguised as the most common ones to avoid being detected too easily. Web scaping probably has been mostly running under Linux before the age of AI anyway. I'm not in the field, so if anyone more trustworthy info on that...
eloisant · 4h ago
Yes they run Linux, but they either have their own user agent (not included in the stats) or are spoofing a real world web browser... In which case they might be spoofing Chrome on Windows even if they run on Linux.

Either way I don't think the 5% are impacted by scraping bots.

viraptor · 4h ago
None https://platform.openai.com/docs/bots There's no reason for those bots to report any specific OS
triknomeister · 4h ago
Anything that's automated today is linux. So, I'll assume almost 99.99%, or may be BSD in some cases.
input_sh · 4h ago
Any scraper out there that doesn't want to identify itself as such is very likely to spoof the most commonly used OS + browser combo (Chrome + Windows), regardless of what it's actually running on.
baal80spam · 4h ago
So basically the 5% number is pulled out of thin air.
ryandv · 4h ago
Based on the history of the tech industry, Linux adoption should be kept at this level and advanced no further. This is already the sweet spot for the "year of the Linux desktop," which should be celebrated by experts, technical users, and the sufficiently motivated.

Once the unwashed masses start coming in, the software and its interaction patterns pander to the lowest common denominator and the quality of the medium degrades.

palata · 4h ago
I understand your point, and I genuinely hate when people try to put pressure on distros to essentially look more like Windows.

On the other hand, I think it's great when companies or government try to move to Linux (if you're not a US company or the US government, it makes total sense to try not to depend on US software so much).

But I want to believe that there is space for everybody. I wouldn't use Mint myself, but I convinced a couple friends to use it and it works really well! EU governments moving to european distros like Suse and the likes is great. And I will stay closer to "more advanced" distros like Gentoo or Alpine.

The beauty of Linux is that there is not one Linux; it's about freedom of choice. Because many people move from Windows to Mint doesn't have to mean that it's hurting Gentoo, I think? Hopefully.

lvass · 4h ago
How exactly is Linux becoming popular going to make my EXWM setup suck? To be fair, if it does get a large market share, some company is probably going to take MS's role and make a distro that sucks but many people use. But that shouldn't be an issue to existing users unless they take over something like a major DE and you insist on using that for some reason. For IT people, having the possibility of running a decent shell and sshd in most desktops would be terrific.
palata · 3h ago
> some company is probably going to take MS's role and make a distro that sucks but many people use

You mean other than Ubuntu and the likes?

chii · 4h ago
> the quality of the medium degrades.

not necessarily. There's room to have the mass market make breakthroughs in laymen software for linux if there's sufficient demand.

And having the mass market lowest common denominator doesnt remove the good stuff - they still exist and you could still choose to use them. This is esp. true for linux, where as you'd have fewer choice/customizability for windows as it's close sourced.

bboygravity · 4h ago
So is this the reasoning to keep Linux as hard to use as possible?

* just open the terminal and type this magic spell to make x work *

DaSHacka · 4h ago
I'd imagine they would say: "if you find that difficult, then yes"
redeeman · 4h ago
kinda like when people write to eachother, just open up your whatsapp, and type in a magic spell to let your friends know they are invited to dinner tonight..
brabel · 1h ago
With the difference that if you get a single character wrong you will get an error that might as well be written in Greek.
bitmasher9 · 4h ago
In some ways we are already seeing this. Have you ever opened a GitHub repository and the only installation/build instructions are for the AUR. I seem to run into this pretty frequently while looking at small projects.
palata · 4h ago
What bothers me is when projects have a hard dependency on something like systemd or even Ubuntu, because most of the time it is not necessary and it means I can't use it.

But other than that, as long as I can compile the project from source (and if it's done properly I don't need instructions for that), I'm fine.

I would assume that a repo providing instructions for the AUR is already better than one assuming that "Linux == Ubuntu", because the developer knows at least one distro that is not Ubuntu :-).

megous · 4h ago
Linux based distributions solve this by not being a monoculture, no?

Pandering to the masses would be in the form of specific desktop environment, and maybe specific distribution integrating it well with all kinds of desktop software.

Nothing would change for the existing users of obscure software, hackishly stitched together.

bitmasher9 · 4h ago
Not at all. All Linux distributions essentially run the same software with different packages and configuration files. There are a few either/or choices they make, but it’s mostly overlap with very little disro specific software.

If Linux software starts widely adapting more dark patterns it will probably impact users across all distributions.

palata · 4h ago
I share that concern, but again: if more people move to Linux, maybe (?) more people will become advanced Linux user and maybe (?) it will bring more activity into advanced distros.

Not that I believe it will necessarily be good, but I'm not sure it will necessarily be bad. Could go both ways, IMO.

ekunazanu · 2h ago
> If Linux software starts widely adapting more dark patterns it will probably impact users across all distributions

What is preventing people from just creating a fork?

tiborsaas · 4h ago
"oh no, the peasants are using MY operating system, this can't be good"
ActorNightly · 58m ago
I know you are making it seem like this is a very cringe position, but its in fact a very valid one.

The problem in most any technology sector is that its impossible for one person in reasonable amount of time to put together systems for use. Maybe in the future when LLMs are advanced enough to where I can have it code a full OS for me to my liking this will change, but right now, I have to depend on other people doing work.

Linux happens to be in a sweet spot where the collaborative development is guided by technical decisions instead of market forces, but Linux is just an OS. It needs open hardware to run. It just so happens that laptop manfuacturers who target Windows just don't see Linux as a big enough threat to start locking things down.

But historically, along came Apple, made the iPhone, realized most people want jewelry more than functionality, realized they could monetize this, and now their Macbooks are locked down to MacOS pretty hardcore.

If Linux went the same route, you could very well see a distinct lack of hardware being made that can run open source Linux. Which then limits you to smaller manufacturers that don't have capital or bandwidth to compete with bigger ones.

samrus · 38m ago
The users arent the problem. The predatory corporations who will try to take advantage of them are the problem.

If you see alot of sheep coming into your glade, the jackels are close behind

palata · 4h ago
I think it's more "they will give less control in order to please the peasants, and as a result I will lose control".

And I agree with that concern, though my hope is that we can make it easier for the peasants without sacrificing control for the nerds (trying to find a word that would work with "peasant" in this context :D).

Zambyte · 4h ago
I disagree with the concern, because obviously making Free Software easier for non-technically inclined people to use does not make the software harder for technically inclined people to use. This is strictly an issue for proprietary software.
HKH2 · 4h ago
If they take out options, then you might have to maintain a fork or write a plugin to keep them.
Zambyte · 3h ago
And thus, nothing was lost except the superiority complex :)
samrus · 37m ago
And the time and effort it takes to maintian a project.
palata · 3h ago
Yeah, I think I agree with you after all. As long as it's open source, it's okay.
Barrin92 · 3h ago
> This is strictly an issue for proprietary software.

it really isn't, as Google Chrome and Chromium shows there's no clear dividing line in the real world. Linux isn't developed by Bob the free software enthusiast, take a look at the code contributions to the kernel.

Overall I'm also in favour of driving linux adoption because it's still a better world but the idea that this has no spill over effect on anyone else is wrong. It's a fiction to think that Linux, just like a browser is anything but a collective project with most development driven by very few organizations who also have commercial or proprietary interests.

Zambyte · 2h ago
> Google Chrome and Chromium shows there's no clear dividing line in the real world.

There are lots of Chromium forks. I don't really see how this contradicts my point.

HKH2 · 4h ago
Gnome has sacrificed a lot of control.
palata · 3h ago
i3wm and sway haven't :-).

My point being that it's okay for some projects to sacrifice control, as long as others don't. I can't tell Ubuntu how they should make their distro; what I can do is choose Gentoo (or anything in between).

HKH2 · 3h ago
Gnome can do whatever they like with their own project, but fragmentation is the biggest problem with Linux.
komali2 · 1h ago
It feels similar to people complaining about their favorite tabletop game becoming popular with normies and then normies come and don't treat the game with the reverence the og fans believe it should.

Same response: just do your own thing then and ignore the normies, it's not a big deal.

fsflover · 4h ago
Just switch to Qubes OS, and you're special again. (Worked for me.)
booleandilemma · 2h ago
The problem when the masses come in is then we lose the whimsy. They will be offended by commands like "kill" and "fsck" and there will be stupid campaigns to change things.

It happened with git a few years ago, when people were up in arms over its use of the word "master". Stupid, pointless changes will be made to appease these people.

umanwizard · 23m ago
The default branch name is still master, this hasn’t changed.
fsflover · 4h ago
You're probably talking about enshittification [0], which typically affects centralized for-profit entities, not community-based free software projects.

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41277484

willhslade · 6m ago
Mozilla says hello.
dosinga · 5h ago
If you zoom out to say the last 10 years you can see that those graphs go up and down like crazy. The error bars on these numbers must be huge.
ahartmetz · 4h ago
Yeah. A critical mass is needed and we seem to be there, but keeping it a system for "power users and up" (and for total laypeople but managed by others) is also desirable.
donatj · 3h ago
Windows 11 not working on otherwise perfectly good PCs I imagine is at least a small part of it. I've got an 8-core Ryzen system I think from 2016 that's still very powerful and more than good enough for my needs, but Microsoft is insisting I "throw it away and buy a new one", in this economy no less!

I also think a number of influencers like PewDiePie moving to Linux has to have moved the needle at least a little as well.

jwrallie · 2h ago
For me it was Windows 11 not supporting hardware. I moved to Fedora in the beginning of this year for work (while using it at home for quite a while).

After seeing SharePoint.exe using 1GB and 100% of the CPU today for over 12 hours I’m seriously considering removing my VM (that I only boot for MS Office). Edge even greeted me with a message that I have access to Copilot Vision that can now see everything I browse when I right clicked the process and clicked on search!

Nemo_bis · 2h ago
It's conceivably part of the reason.

Earlier reporting on Windows MAU noted "400 million Windows PCs vanished in 3 years" (https://www.zdnet.com/article/400-million-windows-pcs-vanish... ). As Windows 11 wrecks havoc on older PCs, many may just sit unused or get discarded, thereby increasing the relative share of the surviving PCs (including Linux PCs).

osigurdson · 3h ago
After installing Arch / Gnome on my laptop last week, I can see why. Everything works completely fine and feels 3X faster than Windows 11. I have Linux on my desktop machine but always hesitated for laptops due to past bad experiences with power management (i.e. something always eventually went wrong when closing the lid). So far, all of that is working perfectly.
kovac · 3h ago
Windows 11 is exceptionally slow. I installed it on a ThinkPad Carbon X1, it was quite unusable. Unresponsive after starting up, copilot and O365 trying to run stuff and i had to wait for them to comolete. I was very surprised that they think this is acceptable. I spent about an hour going through processes and installed programs list, and uninstalling many things. At that point it was more tolerable.
PhilippGille · 2h ago
There are still issues. Just going with your example, see the threads in the Framework forum around lid close issues (almost all from Linux users): https://community.frame.work/search?q=lid%20close

Reports about high battery drain, suspend issues and similar exist as well.

I'm running Fedora on a Framework laptop, but with the awareness that it can require some tinkering.

osigurdson · 1h ago
Current battery life is better than it was on Windows. I know Windows is very good from this standpoint but things always degrade over time. That is my expectation with arch as well - good now but let's see how it is 6 months from now. That is always the real test. Regardless, my laptop is too small to run Windows + WSL so will probably stick with just running Linux.
lunaticman · 37m ago
My step dad doesn't know how to share links over messenger (constantly sends me screenshots of pages), but he runs Thinkpad Manjaro for last 3 years without issues. At first, I was afraid that I will have to do some sort of support regularly or answer questions, but besides "Which music player should I install?" it was crickets for the last 3 years.
BLKNSLVR · 2h ago
I had a Teams meeting for an outside of work topic this morning. Since all my personal machines are Linux based I was kinda happy I had my work laptop available with Windows and Teams installed.

Booting it up about half an hour before the meeting... Installing updates...

After rebooting twice and only five minutes before the meeting started I reverted to my Linux desktop, opened the email with the link to the Teams meeting and was a minute early using the web version of Teams.

Phew, saved by Linux.

Kudos to Microsoft for making Teams web version operating system and browser agnostic. But fuck what they've done with Windows updates. Numerous coworkers also saying their computers decided to reboot of their own volition the last couple of days in order to install updates.

Maybe it's a worthwhile trade off for security, but I'm glad I had an alternative option this morning.

I'm the five-odd years since switching to Linux exclusive at home, my decision is only ever reconfirmed as correct.

(I'm a reformed gamer from a long while ago, but the very few games I do play I have gotten to work on Linux).

sumtechguy · 2h ago
> Booting it up about half an hour before the meeting... Installing updates...

I have that exact workflow with any computer I do not use on a regular basis. If I use the thing every day it is ok. But if I let something sit for like 6 months it is 'patch city'. I usually play that game on my game consoles because i do not use it much. My daily used computers 10-15 seconds tops until usable desktop.

queuebert · 2h ago
This is a very common workflow for me, except I was using Teams on a Mac. And thanks to some update there are now two non-working versions of Teams installed ("Teams" and "Teams new" or some equally tacky naming). Luckily I have a Linux laptop next to it that can run it in-browser.

I would love to know what Microsoft thinks the purpose of the standalone app is, when it is both slower and less reliable.

meepmorp · 1h ago
The "great" part about the Office desktop apps is that they're written in electron, so it's already essentially a web app but somehow worse.
BLKNSLVR · 57m ago
When did they transition from native to electron?
oblio · 2h ago
Do you use your Windows laptop daily?
BLKNSLVR · 2h ago
Normally, yes. Due to current circumstances I hadn't used it the day before (Tuesday) although I did use it Monday.
taf2 · 4h ago
I play all my video games on linux - heros of the storm, sc2, warcraft 2, counter strike... very stable much nicer then what i remember from windoze...
mark-r · 3h ago
A year ago I decided to upgrade my 10 year old motherboard and get something faster. I was hoping my existing Windows 7 SSD would boot up, but alas it would get to the coalescing window display and crash. I never figured out why.

My choices were to spend $200 on a new version of Windows that was worse than the one I lost, or switch to Linux. Guess which I did?

queuebert · 2h ago
Anecdotally, I have two gaming desktops for my kids in the same place, side by side. They don't know much about computers, but they greatly prefer to use the Linux one and only use the Windows one when forced to, like because Microsoft bought Minecraft and only puts out Education Edition for Windows. They seem to navigate Ubuntu much easier than Windows, and that machine gives them less trouble and is snappier.
mousethatroared · 4h ago
For me, Linux became a viable desktop OS when Steve Jobs killed flash and browsers could render any page independently of the OS.

Then Office 365 came around and I could do quick work w/out a windows machine.

umanwizard · 3h ago
FWIW you could install Flash on Linux. It was sometimes a pain but it did work.
mousethatroared · 1h ago
Massive PIA.

Since flash didnt work I didnt use Linix

Since I didnt use Linux I wasnt very good at it

Since I kept at noob level, I couldnt install Flash, which was pretty hard

Havoc · 32m ago
Pretty sure most of the recent gains are coming from gamers

It’s becoming a more viable option - assuming you don’t need multiplayer with anticheat

exiguus · 3h ago
My perspective is that the Steam Deck significantly contributes to this increase.

Additionally, a smaller factor could be the growing trend of Dev and Op professionals moving from Macs to Linux. And the trend before, to move from Windows to Mac's because they are cheaper to administrate. This shift is supported by manufacturers like Dell and Lenovo, who are providing more devices with Linux pre-installed, aligning well with the supply chain requirements of IT departments.

Also, at least for me, it's hard to envision vendors specialising in Linux desktop hardware, such as Tuxedo, Framework, and System76, experiencing a surge in their market shares. I am very curious to see their numbers and the kind of people and companies that buy this products.

QuadrupleA · 2h ago
Recently moved to Arch Linux after 25+ years on Windows. It was a LOT of work (my whole career is on the computer and I have a lot of custom scripts and tools), but I'm so happy with the result.

No more hundreds of background processes sapping my battery life and performance.

No more blatantly manipulative ads every time Windows updates, about how I won't be "safe" unless I sign up for OneDrive, switch to Edge, and subscribe to Office Live Dynamics Pro Limited 365, because now word processing and spreadsheets are a subscription for some fucking reason.

No more 3 different generations of UI styles sloppily bolted together (though Linux desktop styling can be plenty sloppy).

No more news feeds in my start menu and task bar filled with the outrage and statistically improbable evil human acts of the day, no doubt with MS ads, alongside prods to install Candy Crush and other crap.

No more whack-a-mole MS telemetry I have to read obscure guides to find out how to turn off.

No more needing to sign in to a FUCKING CLOUD ACCOUNT to use my own computer.

No more stupid crap like copilot, sucking screenshots and forwarding them to MS and OpenAI, and other sparkly AI icons on every damn thing.

Haven't booted Windows in a month or two. So happy to have switched - my computer belongs to me again, for the first time in a long while

IndrekR · 1h ago
I would not be too surprised to find out that significant portion of Linux on Desktop here is actually headless Chrome web scraping.
sirjaz · 1h ago
Have people looked at the numbers? Chromeos and Linux have swapped, and if you include the unknown OS which are most likely Windows behind a corporate proxy it is back up to 70% of the market. In addition, the number of sites statcounter pulls from us dropped in half in the last three years if that matters.
intellectronica · 3h ago
Very cool! If you extrapolate the current trend by 2073 Linux will dominate the desktop market.
oblio · 2h ago
And the desktop market will have 4 users in total.
AstroBen · 2h ago
I wonder how much of this is driven by Linux gaming performance: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44560913

I've used all three OS's for many years and I really just.. don't care which one I'm on anymore. They all do the same thing. Currently on windows 11 after ~5 years of debian gnome and its fine. Enjoyable even, especially with WSL. GUI software support is much better here

strangescript · 2h ago
I feel like this is more about Linux remaining reliable and the other platforms getting worse, rather than Linux getting substantially better.

I no longer have a windows machine. If I can't get a game to run on Linux then I don't bother with it. I played Clair Obscur start, to finish, in Mint on a 3090 with zero issues. I just forced it to load in steam since linux isn't officially supported.

BLKNSLVR · 1h ago
> Linux remaining reliable and the other platforms getting worse, rather than Linux getting substantially better.

But that's a very key point of advantage in by-design open-ness and non-commercialisation.

It's taken 30(-odd?) years and the coining of the word enshittification, but the advantages of this ideology is now having the last of the clay and sand brushed off it, baring its beauty to a growing audience.

And Linux has, in fact, gotten steadily better over that time too, but it's been a slow consistent grind, so it doesn't appear as grand as a sudden red-curtain-unveiling-worthy improvement, but it is, in fact, that grand.

(What Valve / Steam / Proton has done may be the closest to a rapid increase of usability / marketability, but even that has been relatively subtly under the radar unless you're paying attention).

schmudde · 4h ago
The web browser app paradigm changed everything. The Windows API isn't nearly as important as it once was.
rhabarba · 3h ago
Then again, using Linux has no obvious advantage anymore, as you don't "own" most software you're running anyway.
sschueller · 3h ago
I hope we get to a point where enough "professionals" are using it to force companies like Acrobat to offer Linux versions of their software (cough Fusion 360). It is the only thing keeping me from completely ditching my windows VM. Using CAD in a virtulabox VM is torture. FreeCAD is sadly not a viable replacement (maybe in the future but a lot of work is needed). I was able to switch to other tools for other things like KiCAD for PCB work, Blender and DaVinci Resolve also work great.
DevKoala · 3h ago
I am doing my part.

I wanted a gaming PC forever but I just couldn’t stomach Windows. I had a great experience with the Steam Deck in the past 2 years so I built a Bazzite desktop. I am having a lot of fun.

webprofusion · 1h ago
How much of this is AI tools pretending to be users? If they use a real browser instead of identifying as a crawler then it's going to skew the stats.
Zigurd · 3h ago
The posts on this thread arguing that Android is not a real Linux should take a look at the increasingly blurred lines between MacOS and iPadOS. Android tablets are on a similar trajectory. ChromeOS Flex pretty much is a desktop Linux distro with an Android runtime.

Some people will find the idea of elements of a mobile OS on their desktop attractive. Other people will find it less unattractive than buying a new PC to run Windows 11.

oblio · 2h ago
I've been using Android tablets for a long time. They're way behind iPads in terms of apps available for them, and for them to be usable as main computers for anyone half technical they'd basically needs access to all the Linux desktop software, which they don't have access to.

The simple example would be LibreOffice.

billy99k · 47m ago
WSL+windows replaced the Linux desktop for me.
snarfy · 1h ago
Someone pinch me when VisualStudio runs under Wine/Proton with at least a silver rating. It is quite literally the only app keeping me on Windows.
voidUpdate · 1h ago
Out of interest, what do you need visual studio for that you cant get on linux?
snarfy · 1h ago
Of course, there are always alternatives, but as a professional software engineer there are times I need to use genuine Visual Studio for one reason or another.

Why use Photoshop when Gimp is available? Fusion360 when there is FreeCAD? etc.

erikerikson · 55m ago
VsCode works fine on Linux
umanwizard · 19m ago
VS Code and Visual Studio have about as much in common as JavaScript and Java.
totisjosema · 3h ago
I really liked the recent picture of Linus Torvalds and Bill gets, hard to believe that after all these years of “competition,” they had never actually met before. https://www.reddit.com/r/linux/comments/1lh34ox/linus_torval...
echelon · 3h ago
This is really cool. I had no idea this had happened.

Thirty years ago Bill was writing angry memos about the rise of Linux and how Microsoft had to stop free software.

throwpoaster · 3h ago
2025: The Year of the Linux Desktop! [0]

0: https://hackaday.com/2025/06/03/my-winter-of-99-the-year-of-...

ensocode · 2h ago
Regarding Steam: Some people used to avoid Linux because of gaming, but that’s changed quite a bit. With Proton and native support for many titles, the barrier to switching is much lower now. Great news anyway :)
Workaccount2 · 4h ago
Linux will be stuck in the 5% range as long as people who love Linux are the ones making Linux.

You still cannot crtl+V in the terminal. No faster way to scare off users than give them a CLI heavy OS and have the trip over the very first copy+paste command they try to run (once they figure out the circa ~1982 cursor)

I really cannot say enough about the total fumble of Linux distros in an age when people are more desperate than ever to leave Windows.

Gormo · 3h ago
> Linux will be stuck in the 5% range as long as people who love Linux are the ones making Linux.

Why is 5% a magic number? Why not 4% or 6% or 10%?

> You still cannot crtl+V in the terminal.

Try Shift+Ins. CLI and GUI conventions have always been different, and the sort of users who work in the terminal are the ones who know the difference. Overloading Ctrl+V, and breaking applications that run in the terminal, just to make two completely different paradigms use the same hotkeys seems a bit ridiculous to me.

BTW, this applies across OSes, and isn't specific to Linux.

umanwizard · 3h ago
It’s not a “fumble”, because “Linux” is not a company trying to sell as many units as possible.

As you said, it works for the people who make it. Why does it need to do anything else? Linux desktop conquering the world is just an old Slashdot trope, it’s not something anyone is actually working to achieve in real life.

palata · 3h ago
> Linux will be stuck in the 5% range as long as people who love Linux are the ones making Linux.

This makes no sense. There are so many different ways to use Linux, there is not a single profile of "people who love Linux".

c0balt · 3h ago
> You still cannot crtl+V in the terminal

The more poignant issues might be that there's inconsistencies around UI here. Some terminals allow that directly (Kitty), others require Ctrl+shift+v (Gnome shell, iirc Powershell and Konsole).

To be fair, the best non-windows OS likely is MacOS. It has software support for a lot of commercial prosumer stuff, e. G., Adobe, and has a convenient and stable 3rd Party offering for Windows VMs (Parallels).

As a Linux user it seems like there is a lot to learn in regard to UI consistency from both though (maybe less from Windows). Gnome and KDE are probably moving in the right direction here but it is still a bit off sometimes.

cjfd · 4h ago
I think it is very unfortunate that Ctrl-C, Ctrl-V works for some programs in Linux. This makes the environment inconsistent. These programs should be adapted to the environment they are in and only support selecting using left mouse button highlight followed by middle mouse button press.
dmantis · 4h ago
You can't do ctrl-c and ctrl-v in MacOS too, that's doesn't break their marketshare.
atemerev · 4h ago
Ctrl-C means something different in the terminal. Always has been. And if it doesn't make sense to use Ctrl-C, there is no sense in Ctrl-V either.
pjc50 · 3h ago
Windows lets you Ctrl-V while still mapping Ctrl-C to break.
resource_waste · 4h ago
I imagine you have only used Debian/Ubuntu/Mint/outdated linux.

Fedora is a different level completely. With Fedora, I remember installing nvidia drivers via terminal, and that was essentially it.

Sometimes I open up ports for my kid doing minecraft, but that was it. Its not like when you use Ubuntu or Mint and you need to manually update something just to get Netflix to work on Chromium.

Fedora is so good, I won't call it linux. Linux has the Debian/Ubuntu baggage. Fedora stands alone. Its easier to use than Windows, I don't think I'm exaggerating. Windows 11 has ads, unresponsive search, UI/theme issues that make it impossible to read text, it has fake paths to files. Fedora just works.

umanwizard · 3h ago
Fedora is actually older than Ubuntu. And FWIW you still can’t paste with C-v in the terminal.
resource_waste · 3h ago
When we say outdated, we mean the version of the kernel and other software. Not the first time it came out.

When referring to the terminal, these are 1 time events every 12 months. Its not really a huge deal on Fedora because you basically don't need the terminal. On Ubuntu, its a much bigger deal given how many things are broken and need to be repaired.

umanwizard · 16m ago
I’be had some machines with issues on fedora and no issues on Ubuntu, and vice versa. It really just depends on your hardware and on what you’re trying to do.
k_bx · 3h ago
I remember when it was absolutely crucial for your desktop/laptop to be able to do everything and Linux was a no go for people. Today you can live off your phone and be OK, so Linux actually makes much more sense. Camera/audio doesn't work well? No worries, just call via phone.
globalise83 · 3h ago
Also, 99% of all day to day apps now run in the browser, so having MS Word on your machine is not so important.
k_bx · 2h ago
Yeah, the only thing I'd love to see is "open with gdocs" to be somehow integrated similar to desktop experience. Having to drag and drop every time, creating new file, is really stupid.
globalise83 · 3h ago
My suspicion is that many folks are converting their old MacBooks etc which no longer have support to keep running Linux. I have about 4 such machines of different brands lying about the house, some over 10 years old and they run just fine despite their antiquated hardware.
beebmam · 2h ago
I have a great computer, but it isn't compatible with Windows 11, so now I'm using Ubuntu on it. It's not ideal, but at least it's not a brick. I hate the requirements for Windows 11.
ivanjermakov · 2h ago
Microsoft is the biggest contributor to the Linux desktop market share.
apples_oranges · 2h ago
Perhaps people don't want copilot and other enhancements but just an OS. Also Windows forcing certain CPUs for Win 11 could play a role.
gootz · 1h ago
Very cool. My take on the growth...Chat bots make it very easy to find commands and troubleshoot issues.
jasoneckert · 3h ago
This begs the question: At what threshold would we consider it 'the year of Linux on the desktop'?

5% seems too low. Would it be 30%? Or 51%?

Answering that question in the public sphere may quell many of the "Is ___ going to the year of the Linux desktop?" posts we get each year.

fh973 · 3h ago
I think the year of Linux on the desktop will actually be the year of Chromium on Linux on the desktop (instead of Chrome on Windows), ie. is it really the Linux on the desktop if the only application you run is the browser for SaaS anyway?
Symmetry · 4h ago
That's twice the number Valve reports for Steam users which includes a lot of Steam Decks that come with Linux installed, so it seems high, I would have guessed somewhere in the 1 to 2 percent range. In some countries you have mass Linux deployments to schools or government IT systems that could give you a number like this but I'm not sure what could be driving it in the US.
fghjl · 4h ago
I assume the problems still are that (1) no Desktop Linux is at the level of macOS or Windows, and (2) the only one close is still RedHat, but most want Debian-based or something else.

MacOS is the best model for a successful desktop Linux to use. Trim down the kernel/drivers to just what runs on that spec hardware, only support that spec hardware, focus effort on the OS and ecosystem, keep it stable, make upgrades trivial, and give it freedom to run other software, terminal apps, etc. And most of all- focus resources on these efforts and charge a lot of money for it!

bitmasher9 · 4h ago
I’d argue desktop Linux passed “the level of windows” sometime around Windows 8 or KDE5.

I have way more stability issues and complicated upgrades on Windows.

redeeman · 4h ago
in 2003 it was WAY easier to install linux than windows. You had to mess with floppys for sata drivers and shit to install windows.

and KDE was always ATLEAST as easy as windows, arguably more. At this time lots of older crappy hardware people had also only had win98 drivers, giving people immense problems. It mostly worked better on linux. This still goes today.

blashyrk · 4h ago
Macos window/desktop management is also stuck in 2001 with "magic gestures" tacked on. For someone who hates using these gestures especially when connected to an actually good kb/m, the base desktop experience is horrible. The dock is completely useless, the various cmd+tab or cmd+` shortcuts are unwieldy, Spotlight is growing increasingly worse year after year.

Rectangle/tiling window managers on top is the only way to make it workable.

Apart from wm, the existence of application notarization is a downright insult (though Windows is also guilty of this with smartscreen but to a much lesser extent).

Apple's "pay us 100 bucks a year or we'll tell your users that your program is malware" is just another step in the inevitable game of locking down macos and turning it into a mobile-like hellscape

huh___ · 3h ago
What gestures are you talking about? I think you can turn those off, and I’d be surprised if there isn’t a way to turn off the rest with a 3rd party or custom tool.

Application notarization isn’t a problem anymore- you just have a single accept dialog. That problem that made you do a trick to get past it was only a problem years ago, due to whomever the moron was that thought that was a good idea. The current way is acceptable.

I install homebrew and random apps with no problems.

gethly · 2h ago
Windows 11 and Steam OS are starting to make impact. I am sticking to Windows 10 until is stops working but I think Linux might be finally in my future.
lvl155 · 4h ago
I think adoption has to do with the fact that desktop environment efforts are divided across so many distros.
Gormo · 3h ago
What do you mean by that? DEs development is separate from distros. Distros often select a particular DE to be their default, but "desktop environment efforts" aren't really something the distros do.
resource_waste · 3h ago
I might be a bit contrarian on this.

I think the biggest obstacle in the Linux world is people knee jerk recommending Debian/Ubuntu/Mint/outdated linux.

If people rallied around the current SOTA, Fedora, we would've hit 5% a few years ago.

The variety of distros cause people to get confused, and go with the most heavily marketed distros, Ubuntu flavors. Just because Ubuntu gave away free CDs 20 years ago, doesnt make them good. It makes them good at marketing.

People confuse Fedora with Arch, which is terrible. People confuse Ubuntu with 'stable like a table', instead of 'outdated stable'.

We almost need a reduction in favored distros. Out with the complexity: Fedora for desktop. It has all the DEs too.

Gormo · 2h ago
Fundamentally, Linux is Linux. Differences between distros are vastly overstated, and they mostly amount to different default selections and configurations of the same underlying components.

Ultimately, anything that will run on one Linux distro will run on any other, with the only significant differences being on distros that run on unusual architectures or have made major changes to the kernel.

resource_waste · 1h ago
This is idealistic not realistic.

With enough effort, this is true... but out of the box, you are going to have significantly more bugs and conflicts using outdated distros.

I'd love to see a 'time in terminal' by distro. I imagine Fedora would be in the mere minutes per year, and Ubuntu in the hours per year.

Gormo · 1h ago
What do you find "idealistic" about it? My intention was to explain reality as I see it.

I'm also not sure what you mean by "outdated distros". It should be implicit that I'm referring to the currently maintained versions of available distros, not deprecated versions.

And the "time in terminal" metric might not generally make sense, given the preference that many Linux users have for CLI/TUI tools over GUI ones, given the efficiency and consistency advantages of the former -- many people prefer to work in the terminal even where GUI tools for equivalent functionality are readily available.

theowhfbfn · 4h ago
Is SteamOS included? I am not really surprised. Linux is quite often only usable option, now when Win 10 is not really supported.
koakuma-chan · 4h ago
Why not use Win 11?
malfist · 4h ago
Because it's actively user hostile? Microsoft shoving their spyware and unwelcome AI into it regardless of consent
dmantis · 3h ago
1. Ads

2. Built-in cloud AI spyware / Copilot

3. Millions of abandoned laptops that had been made 4-5+ years ago. Basically electronic and ecological waste: machines from 10 years ago work perfectly fine if you change thermal paste and don't hit them too much. Even if you don't care about the planet, you might care about your wallet though.

lvass · 4h ago
For video games as of today, SteamOS presents double digit performance gains on average over Windows, running Windows games on Steam Deck and similar platforms.
arrty88 · 3h ago
Are people just running headless / full chrome on *nix from data centers to scrape webpages for AI and data mining? Did the article mention anything about checking IP address?
wolfi1 · 3h ago
And it could get into double digits, now Win 10 is phased out. Let's face it, if you are just a regular user of a Personal Computer, you don't need Windows anymore
itsalotoffun · 1h ago
And at this rate, 6% by 2035, come onnnnn!
Pxtl · 1h ago
Personally I'm taking another kick at Linux desktop in advance of Win11, I installed Mint with Cinnamon... and I gotta say, I'm kinda disappointed how many pain points there still are. Type in your admin password every 5 seconds just to install routine updates, ugly-ass GRUB screens, confusing UI, and SDL2 games being half-broken with resolution-switching and audio. Installing software still involves bouncing around figuring out if I want the Flatpak or to add a new Apt source or what.

So I'm assuming these "5% desktop market share" aren't using that kind of distro.

LongjumpingCat · 3h ago
Interesting milestone, 5% might not sound huge but for desktop Linux in the US it signals a real shift. Part of this comes from more polished distros lowering the barrier for non-technical users, and part is probably a pushback against aggressive telemetry and forced updates in mainstream OSes.

Also worth noting: if you count Chrome OS under the Linux kernel umbrella, the footprint is even bigger. It shows that open-source roots can quietly gain ground, even if the branding isn’t “Linux” front and center.

goob_nl · 3h ago
Yay PewDiePie
rhabarba · 3h ago
Role models for computer use in my generation: RMS, Bjarne Stroustrup, Doug McIlroy.

Role models for computer use today: “PewDiePie”.

This is why we can't have nice things.

tock · 2h ago
PewDiePie is awesome. His linux video has over 6M views. We need to make linux cool again for the general audience.
giantg2 · 2h ago
That's enough that we could form a 3rd political party.
umanwizard · 18s ago
[delayed]
Shorel · 3h ago
This is huge =)

I remember the days when we were under 1%.

Congratulations to all involved on making this true.

rhabarba · 3h ago
I genuinely wonder why it is considered "huge". Does it really matter how many % desktop usage one of the several dozens desktop operating systems has?
oceanhaiyang · 4h ago
Thanks to Linux I’m still rocking a surface pro 3. Will never look back
ModernMech · 2h ago
I will say though, I teach in Computer Science at university, and every semester in a class of 100, there's only ever at max just 1 student who has a Linux distro of any flavor on their laptop. Usually it's 0. It's pretty sad if you ask me.
bboygravity · 4h ago
Is this because Linux became so good or because Windows 11 is so terrible?

I guess a bit of both.

CuriouslyC · 3h ago
Pretty sure it's because Windows has gotten worse. I ditched windows recently because it was flagging bit torrent software as malware and deleting it (utorrent, qbittorrent, deluge, all directly from official sources), and when I tried to turn the setting off in the control panel it wouldn't allow me to. A few minutes later it popped up an advertising notification for a F2P windows store game.

Linux hasn't necessarily gotten better, sadly. My install was unusable due to video issues, I had to boot a recover console to fix it. I also had to fix some issues with X desktop effects glitching after waking from suspend, making the desktop environment nearly unusable. Otherwise, Linux performs a lot better on my system than Windows.

IshKebab · 4h ago
Windows 11 is great if you install the IoT LTSC version. Better than Windows 10.
fsflover · 4h ago
Except all those perfectly working devices which aren't supported for no reason, https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43977038
dankobgd · 1h ago
this is the year of Linux
iLoveOncall · 5h ago
I don't believe this number for even a second.
Fade_Dance · 4h ago
I have literally never seen a Linux desktop in the wild. Speaking as a "normal" person who occasionally builds PCs for friends, fixes family computers, etc.

I have an old ThinkPad with Linux, but agreed, no way this can be true.

CalRobert · 4h ago
My wife works at a Dutch company where they all run Ubuntu (mostly because they’re frugal)
pawelduda · 4h ago
I installed Ubuntu on my parents' PC back in 2014. Never had to reinstall, only had to upgrade to LTS every few years. The only problems I encountered were with nvidia drivers on update that had to be dealt with but nothing too insane. It's been used almost daily, only migrated to SSD at one point to speed it up. 18~ years old machine.
ahartmetz · 4h ago
I'm not particularly surprised anymore to see Linux on people's laptops in public, usually while travelling (you don't usually see people using laptops in public much otherwise). That is mostly in Germany where I live. Linux is, of course, also very common in universities.
Fade_Dance · 4h ago
The article is on the US statistic though. If it was a global statistic it wouldn't surprise me at all.

When it comes to laptops, we have a lot of MacBooks out there, and an endless Sea of $400 low quality Lenovos and HPs eternally marching to the garbage bins.

Ultimately my observation is just anecdotal, but I have built a lot of computers for people worked on a lot of family PCS, etc, and have never once worked with a Linux system in that context in 25 years of doing that stuff. I'm not interacting with a tech oriented crowd though (obviously those people would be chatting about tech instead and I would never be touching their system). Perhaps the tech oriented crowd is big enough to hit 5%, or perhaps Linux gaming is moving the needle, but I can't imagine 1 in 20 system is Linux in the US. I just can't.

ahartmetz · 1h ago
FWIW, statcounter is showing 5.49% for Germany - which seems more plausible to me than 5% for the US, but whatever.
Zigurd · 3h ago
20 years ago my kids were getting hand-me-down work laptops with Linux installed on them. Apart from their peers thinking that they must be in some kind of cult, it did the job of keeping them much safer from malware.

Linux has been very usable for a long time. Windows 11, being deliberately unusable on older hardware that works perfectly well is enough incentive for more people to try an alternative. That's not going to move the needle in corporate IT but it's enough for a couple percentage points of the installed base.

fsflover · 4h ago
I installed Linux for my non-technial relatives and they happily browse the web and use LibreOffice.
theanonymousone · 4h ago
I can't think of any logical reason to exclude ChromeOS and count it separately,and a good portion of the "Unknown" category may as well be Linux.

The "real" number shouldn't be far from 10%, if not already exceeding it.

tgeorge · 1h ago
I think the Unknown category could be custom standalone devices like Playstation, FireTV, webOS, and Switch which have browsers to make those stats but could be BSD based. And, I wouldn't exclude ChromeOS also, I thought it's built off of Gentoo Linux.
yjftsjthsd-h · 4h ago
> I can't think of any logical reason to exclude ChromeOS and count it separately

Because virtually nobody who says "desktop Linux" means ChromeOS.

theanonymousone · 48m ago
And that's (almost) as wrong as saying BSD is not Unix
resource_waste · 3h ago
I think Fedora should be taken out too. Fedora stands alone and shouldn't be lumped in with the rest of the LinuxOS.

Fedora going up is a sign of progress. Regular Linux going up is just a sign that Windows sucks.

kristianpaul · 3h ago
Wasnt this what Mac looked 15y ago?
sergiotapia · 1h ago
Microsoft is killing it's platform. One egregious example is their efficiency mode that literally cripples your computer in the name of some misguided "green initiatives".

I primarily went back to Linux Mint because of this problem. Thankfully Steam allows me to game my library just like on Windows. I have no reason to return.

jarredkenny · 4h ago
is this the year of the linux desktop?

No comments yet

buyucu · 1h ago
I don't get the anti-Linux hate that some people have. I get apathy, it's normal not to care. But I don't understand why anyone would actively root against a free and open alternative.

This is great news btw, and consistent with what is coming out of the Steam survey.

7e · 1h ago
These stats are bogus: OS X market share drops by 50% in a few months, macOS market share at zero for most of last twelve months. Windows market share goes up 8% in a few months? Total garbage.
warmwaffles · 1h ago
There are dozens of us. Dozens I say!
bikamonki · 3h ago
Been there since 0.5% :)
pessimizer · 4h ago
Linux now has a bigger desktop marketshare than firefox. I never would have imagined history would turn out like this. Firefox had the easy job and desktop Linux had the hard one.

This will lead to a virtuous circle for Linux unless someone does something; privacy issues are leading people to the OSes where you get to freely choose your level of privacy. Anybody have any more weird old unix patents to throw at them and slow it down?

edit: maybe the way to stop Linux is heat up the war against all general purpose computing. Linux could be used to run unauthorized AI.

goku12 · 4h ago
I came to say this as well. The market share of Linux in the US is 5.03%, while the same for Firefox is 4.23%! [1]

It's not an apples to apples comparison. But the userbase is largely the same, and it's easier to switch a browser than it's to switch an OS. So it does have a significance.

[1] https://gs.statcounter.com/browser-market-share/all/united-s...

Shorel · 3h ago
> Linux now has a bigger desktop marketshare than firefox.

This means many Linux users install an alternative browser, not to use Firefox. That's funny, but so true.

fsflover · 5h ago
owebmaster · 5h ago
Wow! That's a day growth actually. What happened? Is it Steam OS?
owebmaster · 4h ago
*great. Can't edit this comment, strange.
schnable · 2h ago
Is this the year of Linux on the desktop?
deadbabe · 2h ago
There’s no reliable way to collect this data. Linux “desktops” could just be bots.
sylware · 5h ago
I still wonder how they can know that reliably.

elf/linux distros are hardly pre-installed on PCs and forced upon users.

yjftsjthsd-h · 4h ago
> I still wonder how they can know that reliably.

I think the general conclusion is that they don't know it reliably; notice the other comments in this thread pointing out that the numbers jump up and down more or less every time they're measured.

ssgodderidge · 5h ago
Looks like they track site traffic. [1]

> Statcounter is a web analytics service. Our tracking code is installed on more than 1.5 million sites globally. These sites cover various activities and geographic locations. Every month, we record billions of page views to these sites. For each page view, we analyse the browser/operating system/screen resolution used and we establish if the page view is from a mobile device. For our search engine stats, we analyze every page view referred by a search engine. For our social media stats, we analyze every page view referred by a social media site. We summarize all this data to get our Global Stats information.

[1] https://gs.statcounter.com/faq#methodology

btreecat · 5h ago
FTA

>According to the latest StatCounter Global Stats for June 2025, Linux now holds 5.03% of the desktop operating system market share in the United United States of America. This is fantastic news!

ghc · 5h ago
That...does not answer his query.
api · 3h ago
I’ve said for over a decade that Linux can win a huge chunk of the desktop if it just stays as good as it is and waits. Meanwhile Microsoft keeps making Windows suck more.

Apple could do the same to some extent if they cut their prices some.

rhabarba · 3h ago
Still looking forward to the year of the Plan 9 desktop. I'm helping!
gergely · 3h ago
Finally! It is the year of the Linux Desktop! :D
renegat0x0 · 3h ago
I do self hosting at home. Some of my friends are too. I own several SBCs. I wonder if the number of computers per tech makes a difference.
tropicalfruit · 3h ago
> install linux

> 1 week later PC stops booting

pipeline_peak · 2h ago
> The Steam Deck has been a game-changer

Then is this really an increase in Linux "desktop" market share? I'm aware that it's Arch based and can surely run as a desktop but I see it's contribution no different than if they included ChromeOS or Android with the 5% of Linux. A targeted platform more intended for the purpose of gaming.

Desktop Linux's biggest obstacles have always been hardware/software compatibility, and user friendliness for average users. If they're going to list "Windows Woes", then how much of this increase is actually happening on the REAL forefront of Desktop Linux: Ubuntu, Mint and so forth?

sylens · 4h ago
There has been noticeable momentum this year with the Windows 10 end of support date looming near and the continued enshittification of Windows 11.