Show HN: The World After 3, 5, 10, 25, 50, and 100 Years Ft. AI
6 mandarwagh 18 9/7/2025, 6:54:54 PM mandar.cloud ↗
AI is arguably the greatest invention in modern human history. Humanity has always evolved in hockeystick curves, each major discovery unlocking an entirely new trajectory of progress.
But what does this mean for us, Humans ?
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Typically people also wrap character and whatnot around this skeleton and call it a “science fiction short story.” That also requires that you justify parts of the narrative, though, otherwise people might claim that what you’re writing is unrealistic.
Even were that to happen, it is unlikely that a UBI would be put in place, or if it were, that it would be successful. An Ouroboros of taxing owners to pay the public who buy from the owners wouldn't be successful. The reality is that were all workers to be replaced by AI, the economy would collapse. Then, the owners of the systems would be forced to liquidate their assets, the prices on GPUs would crater, and the AI means of production would be redistributed among the hands of the public. Then, small models would be driving productivity in the new wave of startups following the crash. This pattern could repeat many times.
Why do all of these articles have completely unrealistic timeframes? This feels like someone trying their hand at the https://ai-2027.com/ project, which was based on some mathematically flimsy models that models that have been widely debunked.
Two and a half years from now? Sound VERY optimistic.
and even i get this wrong its just an thought experiment and has a 50% chance
Can you provide an actually credible source that shows this? And what do you mean by "displaced"? Sure, AI is aiding, but it is nowhere close to replacing.
So far, the people I've seen mentioning that AI is taking jobs haven't actually provided evidence of this being the case.
Everybody wants AI, it is similar to ebook readers will displace books, websites will displace other marketing channels, PDAs will displace desktop computers, and tablets will displace PDAs etc…
AI fever it is and we should take some drugs to cool down :)
ChatGPT came out almost 3 years ago.
> AI has already displaced coding, design, research, and support roles
No it hasn't.
> Once businesses see it can fully replace repetitive work at near-zero cost
It can't.
Not surprising takes from someone with 0 professional experience and in their second year of college though.
These are real workforce impacts, not hypotheticals. As for “replacement,” full substitution is rare at first, but businesses cut hiring the moment a tool can do the same task faster and cheaper. That is exactly how displacement begins.
And while I may be early in my career, the evidence is not about opinion, it is about adoption curves and cost pressures already playing out.
The point is not that LLMs themselves take us to 2125, but that they are the spark in a chain of exponential advances that will.