The real warning sign (like flashing red lights x100) will be when potential AI Inra unicorn startups start delaying their IPOs or their public stock fails to rally after IPO
WheelsAtLarge · 3h ago
Yup, 100%. At some point there won't be any more private money so we'll start to see a flood of AI ipo's but eventually that will dry up too. We'll see it happen so be ready. My guess is that OpenAI's IPO will be the start of the no more private money cycle.
nabla9 · 4h ago
Or when they decide to stay private and hoover stupid money from Gulf states and SoftBank and don't get any. When the guy who thinks Neom is a good idea is not parted from his money, then it's really over.
There's been a lot of articles lately and they're getting a lot of traction because they are exactly what a lot of people want to hear. Expect the "success" in collecting clicks to result in even more articles reinforcing it.
Are we in an AI bubble, and if so, is it about to burst? If the answer to both of those questions is Yes, we will not know for months. Looking back is the only way to really know.
So be careful with your investments and other decisions. There aren't many things more dangerous than hearing what you want to hear. Don't let your guard down, and maintain your critical thinking.
ben_w · 3h ago
> If the answer to both of those questions is Yes, we will not know for months. Looking back is the only way to really know.
While I agree we'll only know after it happens, when bubbles pop, they can do so suddenly and at such speed that markets get closed for trading to stop panic sales.
The day before? The hour before? Can all seem fine. So we don't know if we're months away, years, or if it's tomorrow.
> There aren't many things more dangerous than hearing what you want to hear.
Tech, chip stock sell-off continues as AI bubble fears mount
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44965187
Is the A.I. Sell-Off the Start of Something Bigger?
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44963715
Say farewell to the AI bubble, and get ready for the crash
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44964548
Are we in an AI bubble, and if so, is it about to burst? If the answer to both of those questions is Yes, we will not know for months. Looking back is the only way to really know.
So be careful with your investments and other decisions. There aren't many things more dangerous than hearing what you want to hear. Don't let your guard down, and maintain your critical thinking.
While I agree we'll only know after it happens, when bubbles pop, they can do so suddenly and at such speed that markets get closed for trading to stop panic sales.
The day before? The hour before? Can all seem fine. So we don't know if we're months away, years, or if it's tomorrow.
> There aren't many things more dangerous than hearing what you want to hear.
In general, and not just in investments.