Long-term thermal storage is something I've been fascinated with the last year or so.
Heat loss inside of dirt is so incredibly slow it's hard to wrap your head around. One fact that I find helps is the fact that after an entire winter of extremely cold temperatures, you only need to go down 10 ft or so before you hit the average annual temperature. 4 months of winter buffered by 10 ft of ground!
Obviously there is incredible potential to this even if you just keep the energy as heat. The amount of electricity we use on heating and air conditioning is huge. If we could just create hot and cold piles or underground wells or something that we could tap into 4 months later when the temperature has changed, you would have completely solved heating and cooling.
Really excited by companies looking into this and wish them the best of luck!
Aurornis · 3h ago
> Heat loss inside of dirt is so incredibly slow it's hard to wrap your head around. One fact that I find helps is the fact that after an entire winter of extremely cold temperatures, you only need to go down 10 ft or so before you hit the average annual temperature. 4 months of winter buffered by 10 ft of ground!
That’s not entirely insulation. Some of the heat flows upward toward the surface during winter and some warmth flows downward during summer.
> If we could just create hot and cold piles or underground wells or something that we could tap into 4 months later when the temperature has changed, you would have completely solved heating and cooling.
Geothermal heating and cooling already exists. It’s semi-popular in some areas. It can be expensive to install depending on your geology and the energy savings might not compensate for that cost for many years. Modern heat pumps are very efficient even if the other side is exposed to normal outdoor air, so digging deep into the earth and risking leaks in the underground system isn’t an easy win.
Cthulhu_ · 2h ago
Underground heat storage isn't new nor anything startuppy though, we're well beyond the "companies looking into it" stage. This page [0] mentions it's been around commercially since the 90's and experimentally since the (19)30's, and interest started in the 70's.
But depending on your definition of this, it's been around for hundreds if not thousands of years. People used to cut ice out of frozen lakes and store it in underground basements for year-round cooling. And in arid climates they have windcatchers [1] and other techniques where they store the nighttime cool for usage during the day, or these [2] to store or even create ice, all without using electricity.
With regards to wrapping your head around heat loss- this winter some work was done on our property while there was snow on the ground. A bunch of snow got covered in dirt. In the spring, maybe three weeks after all the snow on the ground had melted, I moved the pile and was surprised to find all the snow still frozen. It had been under maybe 18 inches of dirt. I was pretty surprised to see it.
werdnapk · 3h ago
10ft below ground is enough to take advantage of geothermal heat. You don't have to go "very far" to reach warmer soil in winter because the soil PLUS the snow on top is pretty much just insulating the deeper ground from the cold air.
Start getting into permafrost though where the cold is more constant and that cold layer gets deeper.
mrgaro · 2h ago
10ft is definitely not enough for practical use. In order to heat a rural house with a heatpump connected to geothermal you need in order of 200-300ft deep hole, at least here in Finland.
Ekaros · 1h ago
For ground source heat pumps you have two approaches. Either you have deep hole. Or you have a large field. In later case not as much depth is needed, but you do need much larger area.
mrgaro · 39m ago
Good point and very true!
beambot · 10m ago
Wouldn't the thermal conductivity/insolution that makes this so appealing be a liability when you want to extract useful heat to use?
shrubble · 2h ago
This is called PAHS, passive annual heat storage and has been tried in some alternative energy housing.
You put pvc pipes into a hill of dirt that is covered by a plastic sheet or other waterproof membrane; during hot summer months you use a small fan to put heat into the pile; during winter the heat moves from the dirt to the house.
jfengel · 2h ago
Does the slow heat transfer interfere with attempting to use that heat?
I can imagine that there's a lot of total energy in the dirt 10 feet down. But once you've tapped the energy near your well, how long does it take to replenish? How long until the immediate vicinity reaches equilibrium with the surface?
abeppu · 2h ago
... and similarly doesn't it mean the pile is slow to absorb heat when your PV installation is trying to dump energy into it?
progbits · 2h ago
You don't need to store it in the dirt. You use the dirt as insulation, and store in something like molten salt or whatever which can be pumped up to surface and has good thermal conductivity to then extract the heat. At least that's my understanding of all these systems.
voakbasda · 2h ago
Deliberate exchange of heat would be done with internal radiators designed to maximize the transfer.
Environmental exchange would be limited to the interface between the storage tank and the surrounding soil.
It should be orders of magninitude more efficient to transfer energy intentionally than what would be lost to the environment.
nyeah · 2h ago
It means the heat stays near the hot pipes for quite a while.
SomeHacker44 · 56m ago
This reminds me of the interesting articles over the last few years about the heat from the London metro system over the last century saturating the ground so the tubes have become extremely hot.
teeray · 1h ago
> If we could just create hot and cold piles or underground wells or something that we could tap into 4 months later
We already do, in a way: septic tanks
profsummergig · 3h ago
> you only need to go down 10 ft or so before you hit the average annual temperature
Is this because of geothermal energy leaking upwards? If so, it's not the dirt, it's the geothermal energy.
wcoenen · 1h ago
> Is this because of geothermal energy leaking upwards
No. The heat energy comes from the sun. Power flux from geothermal is measured in milliwatts per square meter, while the sun can provide more than a kilowatt during the day. So real geothermal heating is negligible at the surface. That's why the temperature a few feet down equals the average annual temperature at the surface.
The only reason people call this "geothermal" is because marketing people realized that this sounds more impressive than "ground source heat pump". It really should not be called "geothermal", because that's something very different. Real geothermal involves extremely deep drilling (not feasible for residential use) or unusual geology.
werdnapk · 3h ago
Yes, the you can put "thick" insulation over top of any buried plumbing and the exposed bottom will gain geothermal heat from the below and it can prevent freezing.
adverbly · 2h ago
Its a bit of both, but its primarily due to the high insulation.
There are 2 gradients: The surface gradient is what I mentioned about and its quite steep(only a few meters to drop tens of degrees). After that, you reach approximately the average annual surface temperature, but do continue to get small drops due to the geothermal gradient. The geothermal gradient is relatively shallow - you need to go down a thousand meters to see tens of degrees drop.
vasco · 3h ago
Had the same thought, we'd have to put a thermometer inside a 10ft cube full of dirt for science.
speleding · 48m ago
I'm surprised that they use the PV power for heating coils instead of using heat pumps. I'm sure they've run the numbers and considered it too expensive or too much maintenance hassle.
However, if that's the case you would think that you can cut out the PV step as well and use direct heat from the sun to heat the dirt, by running water hoses though the dirt and through solar water heaters. Should be cheaper and more efficient than the sun -> PV -> heat coils cycle.
leiroigh · 9m ago
Pumping heat from 300K to 900K is not a big gain over heating -- the entire thing is premised on using extremely cheap intermittent electricity during the summer, and your savings are capped at 30%.
wrsh07 · 39m ago
I just read Project Hail Mary which suggests a use of solar thermal energy and I thought "ha too bad solar PV is so cheap in the real world this would almost certainly never happen" and yet, solar thermal energy plus heat pumps does seem extremely simple and cheap for this company
maxmcd · 33m ago
Does this become much trickier because they're trying to heat to 600c?
Ciantic · 2h ago
Finland has an operational "sand battery", which primary purpose is heating. That was discussed in HN few months ago [1].
When it comes to this article, I doubt the 500x cheaper statement, we would see these already everywhere if that were the case.
the reason that thermal storage is becoming very atractive is that electrical power from PV, wind, and other sources has become increadably cheap, and there is litteraly no where to put it, so prices go negative now, which is a new thing.
so 500x cheaper may be an understatement, considering the nature of how cheap, mature and availible the technology to build a thermal storage battery is, any municicipal civil engineering team can build one from off the shelf and localy sourced materials, and the basic battery "housing" could be a re purposed industrial building, cheap does not begin to describe it.
nyeah · 2h ago
But it's easy to build & easy to read about, so "why isn't it everywhere already" still feels like an open question.
DangitBobby · 1h ago
It's a good question. But still...
> Two economists are walking down the street. One of them says “Look, there’s a twenty-dollar bill on the sidewalk!” The other economist says “No there’s not. If there was, someone would have picked it up already.”
nyeah · 1h ago
Yeah, valid point.
Ekaros · 1h ago
Combination of very cheap periodic power and suitable infrastructure to supply heat energy is more recent phenomena. Supply that is very cheap power and demand that is capability to use that energy later need to match.
ilaksh · 1h ago
Seems like a great concept. Hope they are commercially successful.
It reminded me about another geothermal energy idea: dig about 3 or so miles straight down and harvest the heat that is there already. I guess that's a lot harder than making a dirt pile. But maybe it could become practical if there was enough commercial effort and large scale manufacturing of the equipment.
Kind of brings it around full bore though. Why do that kind of project when you can just harvest actual fuel like oil or gas?
I think this stuff can become practical with more scale and wide manufacturing of equipment and development of efficient techniques. But it requires you to do a lot of upfront work based on principal rather than the bottom line.
So anyway again great idea because it eliminates a lot of challenges and costs that come with concepts like "Journey to the Center of the Earth" etc.
wrsh07 · 35m ago
I think Austin Vernon has spent some time investigating geothermal which is likely why they've arrived at stored energy in dirt
teiferer · 1h ago
> Why do that kind of project when you can just harvest actual fuel like oil or gas?
How can that still be a question in this day and age? Unless somebody doesn't "believe" in climate change caused by greenhouse gas emissions.
0xbadcafebee · 1h ago
Forget climate change, the best reason is national security. Russia's war plummeted Europe into gas shortages and price hikes. Many countries would love to not be dependent on them. And since WW2, all war requires vast quantities of oil; maybe drones will reduce that a bit, but you still need to move stuff (and people) around a lot. So you need a reliable source of energy both in peacetime and wartime.
For the US, the best reason is sustainable energy. Gas, oil and coal are not renewable, so you eventually need to adapt a new form of energy. Just transporting it is problematic, with most communities rejecting pipelines. In the meantime you're polluting your local environment and putting workers at risk. Whereas if your energy plan is largely "the sun shines", "the wind blows", and "dirt holds heat", that is ridiculously more sustainable.
The biggest problem we have is we demand too much energy. AI has made this problem way worse. Nuclear is the only thing that's going to fill the gaping chasm of demand.
stogot · 1h ago
Geothermal already does the “harvest energy within the earth” but it’s closer to the surface. What are the challenges with digging 3 miles down?
parpfish · 2h ago
I visited a pumped storage facility a while back that stored electricity by pumping water uphill to store it and then draining it past a turbine to reclaim it. Ever since I’ve been intrigued by using gravity instead of batteries.
For home use, it seems like you could rig up some heavy stones on pulleys to do the same thing could be fun because you’d get to physically see your batteries filling up. Back of the envelope calculations suggest that an array of ten 10-ton concrete blocks lifted 10m in the air could power a house for a day (ignoring generator inefficiencies)
AndrewDucker · 2h ago
An AA battery contains approximately the same as 1 ton raised 1m. (About 3Wh)
A Tesla Powerwall contains about 13.5kwH (about 4,000 times as much)
So you can either raise 100 tons 10m above your house, or you can have 1/13 of a Tesla Powerwall.
PaulHoule · 2h ago
There is a company that claims they can store energy by lifting and lowering heavy blocks with a crane
I like the picture, but the the size of the construction is enormous, especially if you're considering a tank for some kind of pumped hydro. Hydroelectric power is practical because a dam in a strategic location can back up much more than 1000x of its volume in water. If you had to build all those walls forget about it.
bjoli · 1h ago
That is obviously a scam. Not a chance in hell.
I am giving that one a 0% chance of long term success.
Edit: no seriously. Do some back of the napkin maths. The amount of energy stored is too small. Way too small. And then the infrastructure to haul hige blocks of concrete around.
staticlink · 2h ago
And this is why gravity is considered a weak force.
javcasas · 2h ago
Sit down. Now stand up. Congratulations, you just beat the gravity force generated by a whole f*cking planet.
ncruces · 1h ago
Now try to escape it.
javcasas · 1h ago
What limits me is the lack of solid matter to push against, not lack of strength in my muscles.
galangalalgol · 43m ago
Gpt says that would require about 275 million steps on a magic rigid weightless stairway. Roughly 4.1 million calories. So at Phelps level energy expenditures you are still talking over a year of climbing every day.
LgWoodenBadger · 28m ago
Well, 100kg raised 10000m is only about 2350 food calories, from a purely physics perspective.
teiferer · 1h ago
You are not hiking much in the mountains, are you? 1000m of elevation gain per day are no problem for a slightly out of shape sit-all-day programmer. Not sure how high up you want me to go, but given a high enough mountain (and a thick jacket and supplemental oxygen) and most people here can do that in a few weeks or months.
ncruces · 40m ago
That doesn't really escape the gravity well, does it?
colechristensen · 1h ago
And the strong force holding two protons together in an atom is on the order of 10 pounds.
teiferer · 59m ago
I wondered when anybody would bring nuclear fission into this discussion.
javcasas · 2h ago
Every time I see again the idea of moving big concrete blocks for storing energy, I remember the time I made the calculations, and estimated around USD100K of infrastructure to store the same amount of energy as a nissan leaf.
standeven · 32m ago
I did the same calculation. Gravity energy storage is a joke. Came to similar conclusions when running numbers on hydrogen-powered vehicles.
Pumped hydro storage and flywheels are cool but ultimately battery storage, distributed everywhere, will win.
javcasas · 15m ago
Gravity storage is cool when nature has already made most of the work, I/E pumped hydro where nature has already built this huge canyon with a river in the middle just waiting for someone to put a dam at the end.
empyrrhicist · 2h ago
Hoisting 100 tons of stuff high into the air, and then efficiently converting that into the high RPM needed to drive a generator seems like it would take a truly staggering construction effort. Suspending that amount of weight high above your house also has some... interesting potential failure modes.
sfn42 · 2h ago
Why would you put it above your house? Just construct a sort of battery tower nearby.
zozbot234 · 2h ago
Why not just build a water tower? Easier to manage, it's a proven technology and it has well-known ancillary uses beyond energy storage.
sfn42 · 2h ago
I don't even think the gravity battery thing is viable for individual residential power storage at all. I was just wondering why you'd assume that the 100 ton weight would be placed directly above your house given the obvious problems with that approach, and the obvious way to avoid those problems.
Cthulhu_ · 2h ago
Gravity based with weights is generally considered not cost effective; others already did the math that your 100 ton proposal can still only store a fraction of what a consumer grade battery pack can do, but on top of inefficiency there's space and maintenance requirements. It works in situations where e.g. trains go uphill empty and full downhill, but generally it doesn't work.
Water based systems work better because water is easy to move, plentiful, and there's natural basins to pump into / flow out of that can contain billions of liters.
raincole · 2h ago
Pumping water up is a super old idea, but as far as I know you'll need some natural terrain to build it efficiently.
teiferer · 56m ago
And environmentally, that tends to be pretty bad for a long time. Looks more peaceful than a fracking site, but it's still pretty bad.
There is no magic solution. I'm happy to see all those efforts, but am missing a mention of saving energy. In the age of record-setting data centers for AI training, that's not a popular aspect to mention. Though at least we get higher res more realistic artificial cat videos out of it.
adrco · 2h ago
Relevant video on a pumping water on the roof + turbine system : https://youtu.be/CMR9z9Xr8GM
It's quite far from powering your whole house tho !
> an array of ten 10-ton concrete blocks lifted 10m in the air could power a house for a day
No, that's only 2.7 kWh. Most homes use 10-20 kWh/day. A battery of that size is easily under $1k. Good luck building your ridiculous concrete block system for that.
Batteries are really good. Gravity, not so much. It only works when you can lift & store a tremendous amount of stuff "for free" because nature has done most of the work, e.g. in valleys, mountains, aquifers, caves, etc. If you have to build the whole thing it will never be viable.
parpfish · 1h ago
Batteries are good, but you can’t repair a broken battery with odds and ends you find at the hardware store. If you’re living off grid space isn’t really an issue.
avalys · 2h ago
I’d love to buy a 20 kWh battery for under $1k. Can you give me a link to what you’re thinking of?
IshKebab · 1h ago
Sorry my wording was ambiguous; when I said "that size" I meant 2.7 kWh, which is what the hypothetical concrete blocks might provide.
People have been able to get their Tesla Model 3 batteries (75kWh iirc) replaced with used battery packs for around $5k, so quite close to what you’re asking.
micromacrofoot · 2h ago
You need a lot of weight. IMO for home use the risks heavily outweigh the benefits for anything outside of a hobbyist project... that's just a lot of potential energy in a system that can go wrong. Weights falling quickly, pullies and cables under tension.
The same is true for batteries of course, but at the very least there are protections and checks for failures in most consumer accessible home solutions (and decades of engineering at this point). Worst case you at least have smoke detectors... not sure if there's a "cable is wearing thin and might snap and decapitate you" warning system.
naasking · 2h ago
Stones are typically not very dense. Iron or lead or 2-4x denser than typical stones, and so will net you better energy density.
wickedsight · 2h ago
There are some videos on Youtube discussing the hypotheticals of this. They're never really very positive about the feasibility. Neither on a small scale nor on a country-wide scale.
If you'd want to store 1kWh at 10m height, assuming no loss at all from heat, friction, etc, you'd need about 4 of those blocks block weighing 10 tons (according to ChatGPT). So you'd need a lot of those blocks to power a house for a day, unless you're very efficient.
Cthulhu_ · 2h ago
Please don't cite ChatGPT as a source or as a caveat, instead show the actual math, which should only be about high school level; kinetic energy formula ½mv² = e,
In perfect conditions assuming no loss through drag, you're looking at the kinetic energy formula which is ½mv² = E (in joules).
E = 1 kWh = 3,600 kilojoules, velocity v at 10 meters is 14 m/s, so we need to calculate m for v = 14 and E = 3600k, which is just under 36735 kg. "about four of those blocks" is "about" correct.
michaelgburton · 1h ago
Simpler to use the potential energy formula, surely.
E = mgh
m = E/gh
m = 3.6 * 10^6 J / (9.8 m/s^2 * 10m) = 3.6735 * 10^4 kg
g-b-r · 2h ago
You already have some decent amount of weight in the house itself, so I'd look into raising it all or parts of it
Of course it's probably not the simplest engineering effort...
elil17 · 3h ago
One thing they neglect to mention (which is by no means a deal-breaker) is that you waste a good portion (about half) of the electricity in the process of charging and discharging the pile of dirt. Chemical batteries are much more efficient in this regard.
Symmetry · 3h ago
Solar prices are coming down quite fast, I don't think a factor of two is going to be a killer here if the storage is cheap and long-lasting enough. Some people are already considering over-provisioning solar panels relative to available transformers/grid connections so that they can maintain output on cloudier days. "What do we do with all the extra power when the belly of the Duck Curve [1] hits the ground" is a problem lots of people are thinking about.
Yeah, but then people should start to actual incorporate the full cost of these kind of things in the total cost of solar power when comparing it to other sources.
pbhjpbhj · 58m ago
I think generating hydrogen for fuel cells seems prima facie a reasonable approach?
capitainenemo · 3h ago
One thing they also mention is how incredibly cheap storage of natural gas is.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Power-to-gas#Efficiency The efficiency of power to gas is not great, but it's about the same as this thermal storage method, with probably much longer lifetimes,easier transportation and more general utility (the natural gas could for example be converted to methanol using the holy grail catalyst that was in the news recently).
The power to gas is also carbon neutral, even negative depending on what you decide to do with the natural gas (if you don't burn it for power but use it for industrial chemistry, you get some sequestration out of it).
eplawless · 3h ago
They mention it:
> There is an efficiency penalty converting back to electricity; round-trip efficiency is 40%-45%, but sometimes the steady supply of electricity is worth it.
Ekaros · 1h ago
But chemical batteries cost a lot more and don't have lifespans of hundreds or thousands of years in seasonal storage scenarios.
And when electricity is in essence too cheap like with solar and wind it can be, losing half in efficiency actually doesn't matter too much.
nordsieck · 50m ago
> But chemical batteries cost a lot more and don't have lifespans of hundreds or thousands of years in seasonal storage scenarios.
Practically speaking, you're probably not going to get 1000s of years out of any storage method. There's just too much stuff that breaks down.
Heck - a lot of historic dams are in the low hundreds of years old and are experiencing serious problems.
IMO, the shorter lifespan of batteries isn't that big of a downside as long as the "bad" batteries can be mined for raw materials eventually.
carlos_rpn · 3h ago
I didn't have time to read the whole thing so I don't know if they mention it, but another article about about using sand as heat storage pointed out one of the advantages is that the material isn't toxic, unlike chemical batteries.
pbhjpbhj · 56m ago
There were reports last year, IIRC, of "sand shortages". Presumably a logistics infrastructure problem that could be relatively easily overcome?
carlos_rpn · 32m ago
I remember those reports.
I wonder if it has to be the same kind of sand, or could be some that we neither have another use for, nor would damage any ecosystem (too much).
Aurornis · 3h ago
They do mention it, but it’s downplayed relative to how much of a problem it can be.
In a situation where you have a lot of energy generation that would go to waste, storing it in a system with low round trip efficiency could be better than losing it.
For planned installations where the generation cost is nontrivial (like a solar install) then increasing the generation to compensate for poor battery efficiency isn’t as easy of a decision.
nyeah · 1h ago
Yeah, when baseline efficiency is zero then there's probably room for improvement.
yodelshady · 3h ago
More efficient, but much more expensive. I'm sick of people handwaving $100 per kWh. That is two orders of magnitude off where it needs to be to do anything more than virtue signal.
Meanwhile multiple grids are now paying renewable to curtail, because guess what, the variability is correlated (it's the exact same damn mathematics we used to fuck up the entire global economy in 2008, which is why I'm so surprised people are handwaving that too, but whatever). If you want to minimise cost without relying on gas to save you on dark still days, you want a cheap use for the surplus, round-trip be damned.
Panzer04 · 2h ago
100$/kwh on a battery that does 1000 cycles is 10c/kwh, 5000 cycles ("Claimed" lifepo4 these days), that's 2c per kwh. These aren't that unreasonable, albeit one would need to account for cost of capital and so on increasing these effective numbers.
Batteries are already economical in most grids where they can arbitrage daily prices of 0-10c during the day to 10-30c during the night, with the occasional outlier event contributing dollars per kwh.
They will never load-shift across seasons, agreed, but for daily loadshifting they are already economical, and being 90%+ efficient (and very simple/easy to deploy and scale) is part of why they're popular. It opens up power shifting opportunities that aren't just daytime solar too.
adgjlsfhk1 · 1h ago
you're undercounting cycles for batteries. batteries are quoted for until 80% capacity is left which makes sense for mobile applications, but for grid storage, a battery that's 80% degraded is still useful. as such, you probably get 15-20k cycles before it's worth recycling
pbronez · 13m ago
Correlated errors are a problem in all sorts of places. Most statistics assume everything is independent; super important to verify that before drawing conclusions.
stinos · 1h ago
Another thing they don't seem to mention is environmental impact (if there even is any worth mentioning, not sure).
jmpman · 2h ago
At what scale does this become efficient? I may have 1000 sqft to dedicate to this type of system on my lot. Feels like that’s at least an order of magnitude too small to maintain the energy through the seasons. Could we build one of these slightly larger systems for every square mile (~1000 homes), or does this only work at a 10,000 home scale? The article is showing a pile of dirt on the ground. Could this just be an area of the subsurface which is heated, or does ground water become too much of a problem?
jjangkke · 34m ago
this works in principle. heating dirt to store energy is cheap, the material costs almost nothing and the physics are solid. if the output needed is heat then it can beat batteries by a mile on cost.
the problem is scale. the dirt is free but heaters, piping, controls, permits, and contractors are not. balance of system costs creep up fast and thats where most cheap energy ideas collapse.
the market fit is narrow too. industrial heat or maybe district heating could work. coal plant conversion sounds good in headlines but takes forever to line up politics and utilities. daily cycling wont compete with batteries, only long slow seasonal storage makes sense.
execution decides if this survives. if they can keep real projects near the claimed cost then it has a shot, otherwise it stays as a cool demo.
profsummergig · 3h ago
I do like how well and concisely they've explained not only the technology, but the exact use case, on their landing page.
smartmic · 3h ago
This is a blog article outlining a rough concept idea. As others have commented, many questions remain unanswered, and speculation about isolated physical properties and technical ideas is unhelpful.
For it to be worth spending more time and effort on, I would need a closed system thermodynamic calculation. The technical term for this is a "heat balance diagram". This is the first thing any technical consultant would request.
dwallin · 3h ago
Seems like a case where directly going from sunlight to heat would be a better approach for this, instead of converting to electricity first.
orev · 2h ago
How would you move the solar energy into the piles of dirt? You’d need something like an array of mirrors focusing the rays, which has definitely been done already but has drawbacks. Electricity can easily be moved to where it’s needed.
quickthrowman · 1h ago
You could heat up a metal heat exchanger that you circulate a working fluid through. Probably easier to just convert sunlight to electricity to heat via resistive heating, less maintenance.
At home, it's suitable in warm climates but is more challenging in snowy / very cold regions. Generally speaking, converting to electricity then using an electric water heater is more efficient because there's much less insulating, heat loss, and piping that can leak and cause water damage.
Does the article describe how the heat gets from the mound to the houses or buildings it plans to heat, or factor in the cost of that?
Naively, I'd assume that would like 90% of the cost.
I know that physics is under no obligation to be intuitive, but it's also surprising to me that it's so easy to heat and keep dirt this temperature (600C / 1100F) throughout Winter, and I didn't see how that piece worked either, though I'm willing to assume that part is figured out and factored in.
simplicio · 3h ago
I think there have been about 5 different contexts over the years where I've been surprised by how good an insulator a pile of dirt is.
Retric · 3h ago
> Pipes run through the pile, and fluid flowing through them removes heat to supply the customer.
Dirt keeps a constant temperature year round quite close to the surface that’s a ~60 degree difference between summer and winter in many areas. So 600c would just be a tradeoff between depth, heat loss, and thermal efficiency. However, what they aren’t saying is electricity > heat > electricity is quite lossy and even just using the heat directly is far less efficient than a winter heat pump.
teiferer · 53m ago
They mention end-to-end efficiency of 40-45%...
Retric · 48m ago
That’s just for heat to thermal and quite optimistic not end to end. “Conversion back into electricity is 40%-45%”
More realistic end to end numbers are likely in the 30% range which means summer electricity needs to be vastly less valuable than winter energy before you nominally break even and start repaying the investment. Further you instantly lose all the electricity required to heat the mound up to working temperatures. IE: If you can only operate between 550C and 650C then going from 20C to 550C needs to happen before you can extract any energy and you don’t get that investment back. On the other hand if you’re a chemical plant that needs 200C things start looking a lot better.
lazide · 3h ago
Apparently the insulation value (R value) of dirt and soil is between .25 and .8 per inch (depending on moisture content). That wouldn’t be great if it was a material like fiberglass, but since it’s dirt cheap (ba-dum-tssh) and easy to pile up in large quantities with little to no ongoing maintenance in this kind of context, it matters.
A 10 ft pile of dirt (assuming 10 ft between heat exchanging pipes and the outside air) has an R value of 24 to 96, which is extremely significant.
I expect there would still be notable losses trying to keep it at 1100F indefinitely, but 10 ft of dirt will have insulation values approximating many feet of fiberglass insulation.
You’d want a very large mass to heat however, scaling matters a lot. You’d want the ratio of surface area to mass to be as small as possible, and that means as large a volume with as thermally dense a material as possible inside. Surface areas increases by the square, while volume increases by the cube.
Also, no matter what you do, you would eventually cook whatever was at the surface or underground, so don’t do this where you want trees - or where there are underground coal seams
newyankee · 3h ago
they mention that demand source should be close by to reduce losses in transportation
defraudbah · 2h ago
Best landing website! Keep pushing it
arnoooooo · 1h ago
Why use photovoltaic panels instead of direct solar thermal ?
willvarfar · 3h ago
Ground-source heat pumps are really common in the nordic countries.
Could an PV system energise an existing GSHP steel bore and warm up the earth and rock a bit around the bore? This heat would then be tapped in the winter.
bartco · 2h ago
There are simpler solutions using thermal solar panels which don't require converting solar energy into electricity first:
There are plenty of slag heaps (spoil tips) near coal plants, wonder how it could work with those? I guess the specific heat capacity is greater..
moondistance · 2h ago
How does this compare with Exowatt? Assume fresnel lenses are more efficient.
timerol · 2h ago
Exowatt requires rethinking the solar energy system entirely. This is meant to be bolted onto an existing solar panel field that is mostly selling energy to the grid, but gets curtailed sometimes
tomp · 2h ago
These are cool ideas but there's always an asterisk.
The issue here is: the "stored energy" isn't electricity, but heat. Converting heat into electricity is quite wasteful.
orev · 2h ago
They’re using the stored heat energy as heat, not converting it back to electricity.
And if it’s very cheap, does it matter if the conversion is wasteful?
tomp · 2h ago
I'm not saying it's bad, but it's clearly not a replacement for batteries, given its applicability is quite limited.
The question is about conversion is, is it still cheap if you add a powerplant (i.e. converting heat into electricity) and have to maintain it (moving parts, in contrast to batteries).
gigel82 · 1h ago
> Our system can store the summer excess production for winter thermal demand.
This concept appears immediately flawed. Heat will definitely escape the "dirt pile" at some point between summer and winter.
Mistletoe · 3h ago
How hot do they get the piles of dirt? They are making steam from it?
BiteCode_dev · 3h ago
I always wondered if, instead of using solar panels in the deserts, we could use very long and black pipes running water, heated by the sun. Then the heat is moved to the ground for storage, and once there is enough heat, we use a turbine to generate electricity.
cduzz · 2h ago
I don't think you ever get enough of a temperature difference just by having a passive black pipe in the sun, to do any useful work besides potentially keeping someone warm in the winter. You could do useful work if you concentrate the energy from the sun somehow, like with mirrors.
Heat pumps do magic by changing the pressure at which a working fluid changes phase, so you can boil the fluid over here, have it absorb an enormous amount of energy then compress it back to a fluid elsewhere and push that heat back out -- this works pretty well because you're just moving the heat and only pushing the temperature on the "hot" side up a relatively small amount. I don't think, for instance, you could make an oven with heat pumps.
To do useful work you need a _substantial_ energy gradient -- it's hard to live in the sun even though its got lots of free energy floating around. The sun is very useful to the earth because the energy it provides is so much more energetic than the ambient environment.
Edited to add:
There are discussions of using exotic working fluids like compressed CO2 -- that'd allow you to manage the phase change maybe to a region where you could concentrate the energy in the fluid then expand it elsewhere at "room temperature" temperatures -- but I think things like compressed (to a _fluid_) CO2 are really hard to work with.
throwway120385 · 2h ago
It's done a bunch, all over the place: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_thermal_energy. Most commonly people use them either for batch pre-heating of hot water or for full heating. I looked in to getting something like that for the hydronic heat in my house because currently it's propane-fueled and the deliveries are quite expensive in the winter.
g-b-r · 2h ago
When did it become fashionable to say "PV" instead of photovoltaic, without ever saying what that stands for?
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darkwater · 2h ago
Another question I don't see answered in the article: is there any risk for existing life by heating a huge amount of dirt? Will at some point surface and possibly influence local weather / thermal winds? Or should I just get my tin hat off?
febusravenga · 43m ago
Is there bigger harm to env than building parking lot? We've got plenty of these.
Why not building it under already wasted dead space like parking lot and have snow-free parking lot as extra bonus.
scythe · 2h ago
There's not enough comparison with the conventional ground-source heat pump here. There's not enough modeling of the expected system dynamics. I don't have a physics argument against it (right now at least) but I think that the author is trying way too hard to sell me on the idea of energy storage and not hard enough on why this proposal can work. And I don't think it's just me. Anyone reading the pitch for an energy storage startup in 2025 is probably aware of the basic goals, and more importantly is fatigued and suspicious after watching several dozen clever ideas go nowhere.
Surely you can write a short model of the system at the level of undergraduate thermo. If you have a pile of dirt this big (say about a thousand times the size of a spherical cow) with these pipes running through it, then at a storage temperature T your capacity is X, your leakage is Y, and your recovery rate is Z. Fill in the blanks.
jongjong · 3h ago
Interesting because I've been thinking about mechanical energy storage recently. I feel like these concepts hold a lot of promise on a small scale, per-house; coupled with solar panels. Although mechanical batteries they are not as efficient as electric batteries (and lose some energy), they can be both cheap to make and durable; these characteristics are much more important than raw efficiency when dealing with a single house.
adolph · 3h ago
Interesting how this turns the standard cogeneration plant strategy on its head. Instead of creating chilled water overnight and using that for cooling buildings, heat up the center of a large mass and use that for heating buildings or making steam to run turbines.
4b11b4 · 1h ago
... and then build a 4 season greenhouse nearby...?
pfdietz · 4h ago
A fascinating energy storage startup just emerged from stealth mode. The concept involves DC coupled PV feeding resistive heaters buried in dirt, providing heat at 600 C for a capex of $.10/kWh-th of storage capacity. Storage is seasonal, from summer to winter.
EDIT: dupe, darn it.
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HocusLocus · 2h ago
'Pumped storage' is being tossed around for a lot of ideas that in practice would be (at even a meager scale) so transformative of the world around us there are layers of ugly hidden within the idea. Environmental ugly and people ugly. Earthworks that drown expanses of natural and settled lands and dams on a larger scale than has ever been proposed. Even 'thermal', people get so exited when they see something spinning without torque behind it, they launch on dreams of this corrosive idea and imagine magical materials and thermal solutions spanning centuries.
It is a flimsy mental bubble of three stages.
'Battery storage' has no scalable reason to exist as a topic except for a millionaire's survival enclave. Natural disasters span days and weeks NOT hours. Probably a lot of millionaires are trying to trick you into this kind of thinking so you do their work for them. And in the end it won't solve the problem for them either.
The first stage is, how much would this have to scale to provide for me and my family? And countless shadows of 'others' in the background work to make this a reality.
The second stage is merely to include the 'others' who helped to make it reality in a grandiose gesture. Though it could never scale so far in real life. And even if it did, it would be such as massive and Earth and land=destroying endeavor that the 'others' could not accomplish it either, they would have to be joined by a magnitude greater complement of other-others who could not be compelled to accomplish such a project (that would not benefit them in the end) that you're toying with slavery, threat of violence and broken promises to make it work.
Stage three is imagining energy poverty as a bad solution, but the only workable plan in the end is to reduce the number of people in the world, by lots. It's only logical. Start with other peoples' children. That's stage three.
People who cannot or will not do the math and promote irrelaible or unworkable energy sources are dangerous people. You can sell them anything, and some Pol Pot or Chairman Mao will always step forward to offer help with the human part of the equation in the end. Nuclear now, it's the only thing on the table. Or get ready for a world so ugly it will eclipse history in ugliness.
Go ahead, flag this message so it will disappear and no other persons will be ever know it existed. That's the HN way.
Heat loss inside of dirt is so incredibly slow it's hard to wrap your head around. One fact that I find helps is the fact that after an entire winter of extremely cold temperatures, you only need to go down 10 ft or so before you hit the average annual temperature. 4 months of winter buffered by 10 ft of ground!
Obviously there is incredible potential to this even if you just keep the energy as heat. The amount of electricity we use on heating and air conditioning is huge. If we could just create hot and cold piles or underground wells or something that we could tap into 4 months later when the temperature has changed, you would have completely solved heating and cooling.
Really excited by companies looking into this and wish them the best of luck!
That’s not entirely insulation. Some of the heat flows upward toward the surface during winter and some warmth flows downward during summer.
> If we could just create hot and cold piles or underground wells or something that we could tap into 4 months later when the temperature has changed, you would have completely solved heating and cooling.
Geothermal heating and cooling already exists. It’s semi-popular in some areas. It can be expensive to install depending on your geology and the energy savings might not compensate for that cost for many years. Modern heat pumps are very efficient even if the other side is exposed to normal outdoor air, so digging deep into the earth and risking leaks in the underground system isn’t an easy win.
But depending on your definition of this, it's been around for hundreds if not thousands of years. People used to cut ice out of frozen lakes and store it in underground basements for year-round cooling. And in arid climates they have windcatchers [1] and other techniques where they store the nighttime cool for usage during the day, or these [2] to store or even create ice, all without using electricity.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seasonal_thermal_energy_storag...
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Windcatcher
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yakhch%C4%81l
Start getting into permafrost though where the cold is more constant and that cold layer gets deeper.
You put pvc pipes into a hill of dirt that is covered by a plastic sheet or other waterproof membrane; during hot summer months you use a small fan to put heat into the pile; during winter the heat moves from the dirt to the house.
I can imagine that there's a lot of total energy in the dirt 10 feet down. But once you've tapped the energy near your well, how long does it take to replenish? How long until the immediate vicinity reaches equilibrium with the surface?
Environmental exchange would be limited to the interface between the storage tank and the surrounding soil.
It should be orders of magninitude more efficient to transfer energy intentionally than what would be lost to the environment.
We already do, in a way: septic tanks
Is this because of geothermal energy leaking upwards? If so, it's not the dirt, it's the geothermal energy.
No. The heat energy comes from the sun. Power flux from geothermal is measured in milliwatts per square meter, while the sun can provide more than a kilowatt during the day. So real geothermal heating is negligible at the surface. That's why the temperature a few feet down equals the average annual temperature at the surface.
The only reason people call this "geothermal" is because marketing people realized that this sounds more impressive than "ground source heat pump". It really should not be called "geothermal", because that's something very different. Real geothermal involves extremely deep drilling (not feasible for residential use) or unusual geology.
There are 2 gradients: The surface gradient is what I mentioned about and its quite steep(only a few meters to drop tens of degrees). After that, you reach approximately the average annual surface temperature, but do continue to get small drops due to the geothermal gradient. The geothermal gradient is relatively shallow - you need to go down a thousand meters to see tens of degrees drop.
However, if that's the case you would think that you can cut out the PV step as well and use direct heat from the sun to heat the dirt, by running water hoses though the dirt and through solar water heaters. Should be cheaper and more efficient than the sun -> PV -> heat coils cycle.
When it comes to this article, I doubt the 500x cheaper statement, we would see these already everywhere if that were the case.
[1]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44295132
> Two economists are walking down the street. One of them says “Look, there’s a twenty-dollar bill on the sidewalk!” The other economist says “No there’s not. If there was, someone would have picked it up already.”
It reminded me about another geothermal energy idea: dig about 3 or so miles straight down and harvest the heat that is there already. I guess that's a lot harder than making a dirt pile. But maybe it could become practical if there was enough commercial effort and large scale manufacturing of the equipment.
Kind of brings it around full bore though. Why do that kind of project when you can just harvest actual fuel like oil or gas?
I think this stuff can become practical with more scale and wide manufacturing of equipment and development of efficient techniques. But it requires you to do a lot of upfront work based on principal rather than the bottom line.
So anyway again great idea because it eliminates a lot of challenges and costs that come with concepts like "Journey to the Center of the Earth" etc.
How can that still be a question in this day and age? Unless somebody doesn't "believe" in climate change caused by greenhouse gas emissions.
For the US, the best reason is sustainable energy. Gas, oil and coal are not renewable, so you eventually need to adapt a new form of energy. Just transporting it is problematic, with most communities rejecting pipelines. In the meantime you're polluting your local environment and putting workers at risk. Whereas if your energy plan is largely "the sun shines", "the wind blows", and "dirt holds heat", that is ridiculously more sustainable.
The biggest problem we have is we demand too much energy. AI has made this problem way worse. Nuclear is the only thing that's going to fill the gaping chasm of demand.
For home use, it seems like you could rig up some heavy stones on pulleys to do the same thing could be fun because you’d get to physically see your batteries filling up. Back of the envelope calculations suggest that an array of ten 10-ton concrete blocks lifted 10m in the air could power a house for a day (ignoring generator inefficiencies)
A Tesla Powerwall contains about 13.5kwH (about 4,000 times as much)
So you can either raise 100 tons 10m above your house, or you can have 1/13 of a Tesla Powerwall.
https://www.energyvault.com/products/g-vault-gravity-energy-...
I like the picture, but the the size of the construction is enormous, especially if you're considering a tank for some kind of pumped hydro. Hydroelectric power is practical because a dam in a strategic location can back up much more than 1000x of its volume in water. If you had to build all those walls forget about it.
I am giving that one a 0% chance of long term success.
Edit: no seriously. Do some back of the napkin maths. The amount of energy stored is too small. Way too small. And then the infrastructure to haul hige blocks of concrete around.
Pumped hydro storage and flywheels are cool but ultimately battery storage, distributed everywhere, will win.
Water based systems work better because water is easy to move, plentiful, and there's natural basins to pump into / flow out of that can contain billions of liters.
There is no magic solution. I'm happy to see all those efforts, but am missing a mention of saving energy. In the age of record-setting data centers for AI training, that's not a popular aspect to mention. Though at least we get higher res more realistic artificial cat videos out of it.
https://www.energyvault.com/projects/cn-rudong
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l19AMYd0oks
No, that's only 2.7 kWh. Most homes use 10-20 kWh/day. A battery of that size is easily under $1k. Good luck building your ridiculous concrete block system for that.
Batteries are really good. Gravity, not so much. It only works when you can lift & store a tremendous amount of stuff "for free" because nature has done most of the work, e.g. in valleys, mountains, aquifers, caves, etc. If you have to build the whole thing it will never be viable.
Nevertheless, you can get a 16 kWh battery (which is enough for most days of a typical house) for only £2k, which is kind of insane really: https://www.fogstar.co.uk/products/fogstar-energy-16kwh-48v-...
The same is true for batteries of course, but at the very least there are protections and checks for failures in most consumer accessible home solutions (and decades of engineering at this point). Worst case you at least have smoke detectors... not sure if there's a "cable is wearing thin and might snap and decapitate you" warning system.
If you'd want to store 1kWh at 10m height, assuming no loss at all from heat, friction, etc, you'd need about 4 of those blocks block weighing 10 tons (according to ChatGPT). So you'd need a lot of those blocks to power a house for a day, unless you're very efficient.
In perfect conditions assuming no loss through drag, you're looking at the kinetic energy formula which is ½mv² = E (in joules).
E = 1 kWh = 3,600 kilojoules, velocity v at 10 meters is 14 m/s, so we need to calculate m for v = 14 and E = 3600k, which is just under 36735 kg. "about four of those blocks" is "about" correct.
E = mgh
m = E/gh
m = 3.6 * 10^6 J / (9.8 m/s^2 * 10m) = 3.6735 * 10^4 kg
Of course it's probably not the simplest engineering effort...
[1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duck_curve
The power to gas is also carbon neutral, even negative depending on what you decide to do with the natural gas (if you don't burn it for power but use it for industrial chemistry, you get some sequestration out of it).
> There is an efficiency penalty converting back to electricity; round-trip efficiency is 40%-45%, but sometimes the steady supply of electricity is worth it.
And when electricity is in essence too cheap like with solar and wind it can be, losing half in efficiency actually doesn't matter too much.
Practically speaking, you're probably not going to get 1000s of years out of any storage method. There's just too much stuff that breaks down.
Heck - a lot of historic dams are in the low hundreds of years old and are experiencing serious problems.
IMO, the shorter lifespan of batteries isn't that big of a downside as long as the "bad" batteries can be mined for raw materials eventually.
I wonder if it has to be the same kind of sand, or could be some that we neither have another use for, nor would damage any ecosystem (too much).
In a situation where you have a lot of energy generation that would go to waste, storing it in a system with low round trip efficiency could be better than losing it.
For planned installations where the generation cost is nontrivial (like a solar install) then increasing the generation to compensate for poor battery efficiency isn’t as easy of a decision.
Meanwhile multiple grids are now paying renewable to curtail, because guess what, the variability is correlated (it's the exact same damn mathematics we used to fuck up the entire global economy in 2008, which is why I'm so surprised people are handwaving that too, but whatever). If you want to minimise cost without relying on gas to save you on dark still days, you want a cheap use for the surplus, round-trip be damned.
Batteries are already economical in most grids where they can arbitrage daily prices of 0-10c during the day to 10-30c during the night, with the occasional outlier event contributing dollars per kwh.
They will never load-shift across seasons, agreed, but for daily loadshifting they are already economical, and being 90%+ efficient (and very simple/easy to deploy and scale) is part of why they're popular. It opens up power shifting opportunities that aren't just daytime solar too.
the problem is scale. the dirt is free but heaters, piping, controls, permits, and contractors are not. balance of system costs creep up fast and thats where most cheap energy ideas collapse.
the market fit is narrow too. industrial heat or maybe district heating could work. coal plant conversion sounds good in headlines but takes forever to line up politics and utilities. daily cycling wont compete with batteries, only long slow seasonal storage makes sense.
execution decides if this survives. if they can keep real projects near the claimed cost then it has a shot, otherwise it stays as a cool demo.
For it to be worth spending more time and effort on, I would need a closed system thermodynamic calculation. The technical term for this is a "heat balance diagram". This is the first thing any technical consultant would request.
At home, it's suitable in warm climates but is more challenging in snowy / very cold regions. Generally speaking, converting to electricity then using an electric water heater is more efficient because there's much less insulating, heat loss, and piping that can leak and cause water damage.
Does the article describe how the heat gets from the mound to the houses or buildings it plans to heat, or factor in the cost of that?
Naively, I'd assume that would like 90% of the cost.
I know that physics is under no obligation to be intuitive, but it's also surprising to me that it's so easy to heat and keep dirt this temperature (600C / 1100F) throughout Winter, and I didn't see how that piece worked either, though I'm willing to assume that part is figured out and factored in.
Dirt keeps a constant temperature year round quite close to the surface that’s a ~60 degree difference between summer and winter in many areas. So 600c would just be a tradeoff between depth, heat loss, and thermal efficiency. However, what they aren’t saying is electricity > heat > electricity is quite lossy and even just using the heat directly is far less efficient than a winter heat pump.
More realistic end to end numbers are likely in the 30% range which means summer electricity needs to be vastly less valuable than winter energy before you nominally break even and start repaying the investment. Further you instantly lose all the electricity required to heat the mound up to working temperatures. IE: If you can only operate between 550C and 650C then going from 20C to 550C needs to happen before you can extract any energy and you don’t get that investment back. On the other hand if you’re a chemical plant that needs 200C things start looking a lot better.
A 10 ft pile of dirt (assuming 10 ft between heat exchanging pipes and the outside air) has an R value of 24 to 96, which is extremely significant.
I expect there would still be notable losses trying to keep it at 1100F indefinitely, but 10 ft of dirt will have insulation values approximating many feet of fiberglass insulation.
You’d want a very large mass to heat however, scaling matters a lot. You’d want the ratio of surface area to mass to be as small as possible, and that means as large a volume with as thermally dense a material as possible inside. Surface areas increases by the square, while volume increases by the cube.
Also, no matter what you do, you would eventually cook whatever was at the surface or underground, so don’t do this where you want trees - or where there are underground coal seams
Could an PV system energise an existing GSHP steel bore and warm up the earth and rock a bit around the bore? This heat would then be tapped in the winter.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S266711312...
https://youtu.be/OdyrF96q2TQ?si=GT7ar0yoS6jR0mZe
The issue here is: the "stored energy" isn't electricity, but heat. Converting heat into electricity is quite wasteful.
And if it’s very cheap, does it matter if the conversion is wasteful?
The question is about conversion is, is it still cheap if you add a powerplant (i.e. converting heat into electricity) and have to maintain it (moving parts, in contrast to batteries).
This concept appears immediately flawed. Heat will definitely escape the "dirt pile" at some point between summer and winter.
Heat pumps do magic by changing the pressure at which a working fluid changes phase, so you can boil the fluid over here, have it absorb an enormous amount of energy then compress it back to a fluid elsewhere and push that heat back out -- this works pretty well because you're just moving the heat and only pushing the temperature on the "hot" side up a relatively small amount. I don't think, for instance, you could make an oven with heat pumps.
To do useful work you need a _substantial_ energy gradient -- it's hard to live in the sun even though its got lots of free energy floating around. The sun is very useful to the earth because the energy it provides is so much more energetic than the ambient environment.
Edited to add:
There are discussions of using exotic working fluids like compressed CO2 -- that'd allow you to manage the phase change maybe to a region where you could concentrate the energy in the fluid then expand it elsewhere at "room temperature" temperatures -- but I think things like compressed (to a _fluid_) CO2 are really hard to work with.
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Why not building it under already wasted dead space like parking lot and have snow-free parking lot as extra bonus.
Surely you can write a short model of the system at the level of undergraduate thermo. If you have a pile of dirt this big (say about a thousand times the size of a spherical cow) with these pipes running through it, then at a storage temperature T your capacity is X, your leakage is Y, and your recovery rate is Z. Fill in the blanks.
EDIT: dupe, darn it.
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It is a flimsy mental bubble of three stages.
'Battery storage' has no scalable reason to exist as a topic except for a millionaire's survival enclave. Natural disasters span days and weeks NOT hours. Probably a lot of millionaires are trying to trick you into this kind of thinking so you do their work for them. And in the end it won't solve the problem for them either.
The first stage is, how much would this have to scale to provide for me and my family? And countless shadows of 'others' in the background work to make this a reality.
The second stage is merely to include the 'others' who helped to make it reality in a grandiose gesture. Though it could never scale so far in real life. And even if it did, it would be such as massive and Earth and land=destroying endeavor that the 'others' could not accomplish it either, they would have to be joined by a magnitude greater complement of other-others who could not be compelled to accomplish such a project (that would not benefit them in the end) that you're toying with slavery, threat of violence and broken promises to make it work.
Stage three is imagining energy poverty as a bad solution, but the only workable plan in the end is to reduce the number of people in the world, by lots. It's only logical. Start with other peoples' children. That's stage three.
People who cannot or will not do the math and promote irrelaible or unworkable energy sources are dangerous people. You can sell them anything, and some Pol Pot or Chairman Mao will always step forward to offer help with the human part of the equation in the end. Nuclear now, it's the only thing on the table. Or get ready for a world so ugly it will eclipse history in ugliness.
Go ahead, flag this message so it will disappear and no other persons will be ever know it existed. That's the HN way.
No comments yet