The Math of Catastrophe

I wonder how well this math works for things like sociological phenomena.

""" According to their model, a tipping point in the AMOC should occur between 2025 and 2095, with 95% confidence. They expect it in 2057. """

As someone with a Dutch mortgage due to be paid off in 2055 I'm not sure what to do...

I believe this area of mathematics will become one of the most important areas within 10 years.