Cosmos-482 descent craft re-entry prediction

17 _kb 4 5/10/2025, 12:19:45 AM blogs.esa.int ↗

Comments (4)

AStonesThrow · 3h ago
There are currently a few YouTube livestreams with "live tracking" for whatever that's worth. I'm watching this one: https://www.youtube.com/live/MXbMHHvaiJo?si=cKZBkmKsXh-qEjzS

Current prediction is 6:12am UTC (± 3 hours); the red splat projection is on the eastern coast of the Caspian Sea.

WalterGR · 1h ago
What exactly is that stream tracking? I don’t see any “about” info.
AStonesThrow · 1h ago
The trouble is that a lot of these streams are simply simulating estimates based on current ephemera, and the "current position" is a projection. So even after the spacecraft deorbits and crashes, they may still indicate it's up there somewhere. There is insufficient actual live telemetry or photography to indicate its actual position and status at this time. We'll only know when it's down after it's come down, basically.
AStonesThrow · 1h ago
Here's a guy who has some live telemetry going, if you can deal with commentary in Polish: https://www.youtube.com/live/21QsJBxUOC4?si=cQBnVyYxuROsFDVJ